USF (4-4) vs Navy (6-1)
Game Info: Saturday, November 9, 2024 at 12:00 pm (Raymond James Stadium)
Betting Odds: USF +2.5 / Navy -2.5 --- Over/Under: 53.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds
The Navy Midshipmen and South Florida Bulls meet Saturday in week 11 college football action at Raymond James Stadium. Here’s a Navy vs South Florida Prediction. This article will include a Navy vs South Florida Pick.
Navy Midshipmen Betting Preview
The Navy Midshipmen lost to Notre Dame and Rice, and they play Tulane next. The Navy Midshipmen have won 2 of their last 3 road games. Blake Horvath is completing 59.4 percent of his passes for 1,096 yards, 10 touchdowns, and 4 interceptions. Eli Heidenreich and Brandon Chatman have combined for 753 receiving yards and 8 touchdowns, while Alex Tecza has 8 receptions.
The Navy Midshipmen ground game is averaging 251.4 yards per contest, and Horvath leads the way with 814 yards and 12 touchdowns. Defensively, Navy is allowing 24.1 points and 391.9 yards per game. Colin Ramos leads the Navy Midshipmen with 92 tackles, Justin Reed has 4.5 sacks and Dashaun Peele has 4 interceptions.
South Florida Bulls Betting Preview
The South Florida Bulls beat UAB and Florida Atlantic, and play Charlotte next. The South Florida Bulls have split their last 4 home games. Byrum Brown is completing 59.1 percent of his passes for 836 yards, 2 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Sean Atkins and Abdur-Rahmaan Yaseen combined for 638 receiving yards and 1 touchdown, while Michael Brown-Stephens has 15 receptions.
The South Florida Bulls ground game is averaging 173.9 yards per contest, and Kelley Joiner leads the way with 453 yards and 7 touchdowns. Defensively, South Florida is allowing 28.9 points and 435.6 yards per game. Mac Harris leads the South Florida Bulls with 51 tackles, Rico Watson III has 2.5 sacks and Jhalyn Shuler has 2 interceptions.
Why the Navy Midshipmen will win
- South Florida has lost each of its last 11 November games as an underdog against non-AP-ranked teams.
- The favorite has won 13 of South Florida's last 14 games.
- The favorite has covered the spread in five of South Florida's last six games.
- South Florida has failed to cover the spread in four of its last five home games against conference opponents.
Total Points Facts
- Seven of Navy's last eight November games as a road favorite against non-AP-ranked teams have gone OVER the total points line.
- Six of South Florida's last seven games in November have gone OVER the total points line.
Matchup/League Facts
- South Florida ranks 129th among FBS teams for Q1 opponent points per game this season (9.1).
- South Florida ranks T128th among FBS teams for average point differential in fourth quarters this season (-4.3).
- Navy ranks 7th among FBS teams for average point differential in second quarters this season (+7.5).
- Navy ranks 127th among FBS teams for passing yards per game this season (146.8).
Navy vs South Florida Prediction
Right when it looked like Navy was making a surprise push for a playoff spot, they lost back-to-back games, and that loss to Rice was shocking. Not getting the warm and fuzzy feeling heading into this matchup. However, Navy has shown us more good than bad this season and South Florida remains a mess defensively with an offense that struggles to throw the ball. If Navy can get off the canvas, this should be a win. We're not asking to lay much. Give me Navy and the small number.
Randy’s Pick Navy -2.5
AUTHOR: Randy Chambers
