New Mexico vs San Diego State Prediction College Football Picks 11/8/24

San Diego State (3-5) vs New Mexico (3-6)

Game Info: Friday, November 8, 2024 at 10:30 pm (Snapdragon Stadium)

Betting Odds: San Diego State -3.5 / New Mexico +3.5 --- Over/Under: 66.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

The New Mexico Lobos and San Diego State Aztecs meet Saturday in week 11 college football action at Snapdragon Stadium. Here’s a New Mexico vs San Diego State Prediction. This article will include a New Mexico vs San Diego State Pick.

New Mexico Lobos Betting Preview

The New Mexico Lobos lost to Colorado State and Wyoming, and they play Washington State next. New Mexico has lost 3 of its last 5 road games. Devon Dampier is completing 58.1 percent of his passes for 2,243 yards, 10 touchdowns, and 12 interceptions. Luke Wysong and Ryan Davis have combined for 1,250 receiving yards and 3 touchdowns, while Nic Trujillo has 15 receptions.

The New Mexico Lobos ground game is averaging 230.9 yards per contest, and Dampier leads the way with 745 yards and 13 touchdowns. Defensively, New Mexico is allowing 40.8 points and 492.3 yards per game. Christian Ellis leads the New Mexico Lobos with 80 tackles, Jayden Wilson has 2 sacks and Dimitri Johnson has 1 interception.

San Diego State Aztecs Betting Preview

The San Diego State Aztecs lost to Washington State and Boise State, and they play UNLV, Utah State, and Air Force next. San Diego State has split its last 4 home games. Danny O’Neil is completing 60.3 percent of his passes for 1,395 yards, 8 touchdowns, and 4 interceptions. Louis Brown IV and Jordan Napier have combined for 727 receiving yards and 6 touchdowns, while Ja’Sahun Poke has 37 receptions.

The San Diego State Aztecs ground game is averaging 123.3 yards per contest, and Marquez Cooper leads the way with 842 yards and 9 touchdowns. Defensively, San Diego State is allowing 27.6 points and 396.8 yards per game. Tano Letuli leads the San Diego State Aztecs with 44 tackles, Trey White has 11.5 sacks and JD Coffey III has 1 interception.

Why the San Diego State Aztecs will win

  • New Mexico has lost 26 of its last 27 November games against non-AP-ranked teams.
  • The favorite has won seven of San Diego State's last eight games.
  • New Mexico has failed to cover the spread in eight of its last nine road games in November.
  • The favorite has covered the spread in six of New Mexico's last seven games.
  • San Diego State has won the first half in each of its last three games against conference opponents at Snapdragon Stadium.

Total Points Facts

  • Each of San Diego State's last six November games as a home favorite has gone UNDER the total points line.
  • Seven of New Mexico's last eight November games as a road underdog have gone UNDER the total points line.

Matchup/League Facts

  • San Diego State ranks T126th among FBS teams for 1st downs this season (135).
  • San Diego State ranks 122nd among FBS teams for 3rd down conversion percentage this season (31.3).
  • New Mexico ranks 133rd among FBS teams for red zone percentage this season (97.1).
  • New Mexico ranks 132nd among FBS teams for points allowed per game this season (40.8).

New Mexico vs San Diego State Prediction

The San Diego State Aztecs are the more talented team and should be favored at home, but the bottom line is these are two bad football teams and I'm not thrilled to get involved with either. Also, San Diego State is 2-9 ATS in its last 11 games as a home favorite. Three of those failed covers were outright losses. New Mexico has the offense to hang around in this one. If forced to pick, I'd grab the points with the Lobos.

Randy’s Pick New Mexico Lobos +3.5

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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