Duke vs Miami Prediction College Football Picks 11/2/24

Pick details

Miami (8-0) vs Duke (6-2)

November 2, 2024 at 12:00 PM EDT

The Line: Betting Odds: Miami-FL -21 / Duke +21 — Over/Under: 51.5

(Get latest betting odds)

The Duke Blue Devils and the Miami Hurricanes meet in week 10 college football action from Hard Rock Stadium on Saturday. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Duke vs. Miami prediction.

Duke Blue Devils Recap

The Duke Blue Devils come into this one looking to bounce back after a 28-27 loss at the hands of SMU in their last matchup. After this game, Duke will head on the road for a matchup against NC State.

Duke Looking For Consistency

Maalik Murphy has thrown for 1,796 yards, 17 touchdowns, and 5 interceptions on 58.6% passing while Star Thomas leads the Blue Devils on the ground with 681 rushing yards and 5 TDs. Jordan Moore has 34 receptions for 481 yards and 4 TDs while Eli Pancol has 36 grabs for 446 yards and 6 touchdowns. Another pair of Blue Devils have 200+ receiving yards and two more Dukies have 100+ receiving yards as well on the year. On defense, Alex Howard has a team-high 59 total tackles including 5 sacks while Vincent Anthony Jr. and Wesley Williams each have 4 sacks. As a unit, Duke’s defense has combined for 24 sacks and 9 interceptions on the year.

Why the Duke Blue Devils will win

  • The road team has won five of the last six games between Duke and Miami (FL).
  • Miami (FL) has lost each of its last three home games in November.
  • The underdog has covered the spread in nine of Miami (FL)’s last 10 games at Hard Rock Stadium.
  • Miami (FL) has failed to cover the spread in nine of its last 10 home games against conference opponents.

Miami Recap

The Miami Hurricanes come into this game looking to add on to their 36-14 win over Florida State last time out to improve to 8-0 on the year. After this game, Miami will square off against Georgia Tech on the road.

Hurricanes Looking To Stay Unbeaten

Cam Ward has thrown for 2,746 yards, 24 touchdowns, and 5 interceptions on 68% passing while Damien Martinez leads the ‘Canes on the ground with 529 rushing yards and 8 TDs and Mark Fletcher Jr. has 367 rushing yards with 5 touchdowns as well. Xavier Restrepo has a team-high 43 grabs for 710 yards and 6 touchdowns while Isaiah Horton has 477 receiving yards with 4 TDs and Sam Brown Jr. has 410 receiving yards as well. Jacolby George has 354 receiving yards and Elijah Arroyo has 310 receiving yards with George and Arroyo each logging 4 receiving TDs. On defense, Francisco Mauigoa has a team-high 43 total tackles while Simeon Barrow Jr. has a team-high 5.5 sacks and Tyler Baron has 4.5 sacks. Michael Powell has 3 interceptions as well on the year for Miami. As a unit, Miami’s defense has combined for 26 sacks and 10 interceptions so far this season.

Why the Miami Hurricanes will win

  • Miami (FL) has won each of its last eight games.
  • Duke has lost 12 of its last 13 games against AP-ranked teams.
  • Miami (FL) has covered the spread in three of its last four November games as a favorite against non-AP-ranked teams.

Duke vs. Miami Prediction

I’m with Miami here. I think it says a lot that Duke had 6 turnovers forced against SMU and still found a way to lose that game. Granted it was a game decided in OT, but the Hurricanes have too much firepower on this side to let Duke stay close enough to force OT. I think Miami blitzes the Blue Devils out of the gate and delivers a message here. Give me Miami.

Chris Ruffolo's Pick: Miami -21

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