North Carolina vs Florida State Prediction College Football Picks 11/2/24

Florida State Seminoles Betting Preview

The Florida State Seminoles are 1-7 (1-6) this year after they lost to Miami by a score of 36-14 in their last game. Florida State trailed 17-7 at halftime and they allowed the first 19 points of the second half in the loss. The Seminoles were outgained by a total of 445-248, tied the turnover battle at zero, and went 3-13 on third down in the game. Luke Kromenhoek threw for 61 yards, while Brock Glenn threw for 54 yards and one score. 

Florida State has also lost to Duke, Clemson, and SMU during this four-game losing streak. The FSU offense has scored 15.9 points per game with 192.1 passing yards and 80.4 rushing yards per game, while the defense has allowed 26.4 points per game this season. The Seminoles have gone 26.4% on third down and 17-27 on fourth down through eight games. Brock Glenn has completed 45.1% of his passes for 392 yards, three touchdowns, and three interceptions, while Lawrance Toafili has rushed for 279 yards and two scores. 

Why Florida State will cover

• Florida State has won each of its last eight November games against non-AP-ranked teams.
• North Carolina has lost five of its last six games against conference opponents.
• North Carolina has failed to cover the spread in seven of its last eight November games as a favorite against non-AP-ranked teams.
• The home team has covered the spread in four of Florida State's last five games.

Total Points Facts

• Seven of Florida State's last eight games have gone UNDER the total points line.
• Three of North Carolina's last four November road games against non-AP-ranked teams have gone UNDER the total points line.

Matchup/League Facts

• Florida State ranks 132nd among FBS teams for 3rd down conversion percentage this season (26.4).
• Florida State ranks 131st among FBS teams for yards per game this season (272.5).
• North Carolina ranks 110th among FBS teams for Q4 opponent points per game this season (8.3).
• North Carolina ranks T110th among FBS teams for red zone percentage against this season (90.3).

North Carolina vs Florida State Prediction 

Florida State remains one of the most disappointing teams in the country this season and they have scored 16 points or fewer in seven straight games. The Seminoles have major questions at the quarterback position, but they will face a UNC defense that has allowed 34+ points in three of their last five games. North Carolina did get a win last week against Virginia, but they have been pretty bad over the last month. I don’t like either of these teams, but I will take the points with FSU in a game that may come down to the last possession.