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Florida State vs Duke Prediction College Football Picks 10/18/24
Pick details
Duke (5-1) vs Florida State (1-5)
October 18, 2024 at 07:00 PM EDT
The Line: Betting Odds: Duke -166 / Florida State +138 — Over/Under: 42.5
The Florida State Seminoles and the Duke Blue Devils meet in week 8 college football action from Wallace Wade Stadium on Friday night. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Florida State vs. Duke prediction.
Florida State Recap
The Florida State Seminoles come into this game fresh off of their bye week looking to get back on track after a 29-13 loss to Clemson in their last game dropped the ‘Noles to 1-5 on the year. After this game, Florida State will head on the road for a marquee matchup against Miami.
Seminoles In Dire Need Of Reset
DJ Uiagalelei has thrown for 1,065 yards, 4 touchdowns, and 6 interceptions on 53.8% passing while Brock Glenn has thrown for 228 yards, 2 touchdowns, and an INT on 51.1% passing. Lawrance Toafili has a team-high 230 rushing yards with 2 TDs and Roydell Williams has a pair of rushing TDs as well. Ja’Khi Douglas leads Florida State with 306 receiving yards on 18 receptions while Malik Benson has 18 grabs for 224 yards and four more FSU receivers have 100+ receiving yards as well. On defense, Shyheim Brown has a team-high 43 total tackles including 23 solo tackles while Patrick Payton has a team-high 4 sacks on the year. Marvin Jones Jr. has 3 sacks as well and Florida State’s defense as a whole has combined for 17 sacks and 2 interceptions on the year.
Why the Florida State Seminoles will win
- Florida State has won seven of its last eight October games against non-AP-ranked teams.
- Duke has lost each of its last three games in October.
- Florida State has covered the spread in each of its last four games in October.
- Duke has failed to cover the spread in each of its last three games in October.
Duke Recap
The Duke Blue Devils come into this one looking to bounce back after ending up with a 24-14 loss to Georgia Tech in their last game prior to their bye week last week, falling to 5-1 on the year. After this game, Duke will meet SMU, Miami, NC State, and Virginia Tech.
Blue Devils Looking For Bounce Back
Maalik Murphy has thrown for 1,431 yards, 14 touchdowns and 5 interceptions on 60.1% passing while Star Thomas leads the Blue Devils on the ground with 528 rushing yards and 3 TDs. Jordan Moore has a team-high 30 receptions for 443 yards and 3 TDs while Eli Pancol has 23 grabs for 294 yards and 5 touchdowns. Another three Blue Devils have 100+ receiving yards as well on the year. On defense, Alex Howard has a team-high 47 total tackles including 3 sacks while Vincent Anthony Jr. has a team-high 3.5 sacks and Terry Moore has a pair of interceptions. As a unit, Duke’s defense has combined for 18 sacks and 4 interceptions on the year.
Why the Duke Blue Devils will win
- Duke has won each of its last 10 games against non-AP-ranked teams at Brooks Field at Wallace Wade Stadium.
- Florida State has lost six of its last seven games.
- Duke has covered the spread in eight of its last nine home games against conference opponents.
- Florida State has failed to cover the spread in four of its last five games against non-AP-ranked teams.
Florida State vs. Duke Prediction
I’m on Duke here. It’s wild to me that Duke has never beaten Florida State. However, these are different circumstances as Florida State is challenging for one of the worst power conference teams in the country. Duke hasn’t played the toughest of schedules in fairness, but it’s not like it gets any tougher here in reality. Give me Duke laying the points.