SMU vs Louisville Prediction College Football Picks 10/5/24

Louisville (3-1) vs SMU (4-1)

Game Info: Saturday, October 5, 2024 at 12:00 pm (L&N Federal Credit Union Stadium)

Betting Odds: Louisville -7 / SMU +7 --- Over/Under: 56.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

The SMU Mustangs and Louisville Cardinals meet Saturday in week 6 college football action at L&N Federal Credit Union Stadium. Here’s an SMU vs Louisville Prediction. This article will include an SMU vs Louisville Pick.

SMU Mustangs Betting Preview

The SMU Mustangs beat TCU and Florida State, and they play Stanford next. SMU has won 6 straight road games. Kevin Jennings is completing 63.4 percent of his passes for 733 yards, 6 touchdowns, and 1 interception. RJ Maryland and Jake Bailey have combined for 391 receiving yards and 4 touchdowns, while Brashard Smith has 11 receptions.

The SMU Mustangs ground game is averaging 205.6 yards per contest, and Brashard Smith leads the way with 509 yards and 7 touchdowns. Defensively, SMU is allowing 21.4 points and 311.2 yards per game. Kobe Wilson leads the SMU Mustangs with 31 tackles, Isaiah Smith has 2.5 sacks and Ahmaad Moses has 3 interceptions.

Louisville Cardinals Betting Preview

The Louisville Cardinals beat Georgia Tech, lost to Notre Dame, and they play Virginia next. Louisville has won 9 of its last 10 home games. Tyler Shough is completing 65 percent of his passes for 1,114 yards, 11 touchdowns, and 1 interception. Ja’Corey Brooks and Chris Bell have combined for 556 receiving yards and 6 touchdowns, while Jamari Johnson has 7 receptions.

The Louisville Cardinals ground game is averaging 178.5 yards per contest, and Isaac Brown leads the way with 245 yards and 1 touchdown. Defensively, Louisville is allowing 16 points and 271.5 yards per game. Stanquan Clark leads the Louisville Cardinals with 22 tackles, Tramel Logan has 3 sacks and T.J. Capers has 1 interception.

Why the Louisville Cardinals will win

  • Louisville has won each of its last eight games against conference opponents at L&N Federal Credit Union Stadium.
  • SMU has lost five of its last six games against AP-ranked teams.
  • Louisville has covered the spread in seven of its last eight games against conference opponents at L&N Federal Credit Union Stadium.
  • SMU has failed to cover the spread in four of its last five road games against AP-ranked teams.

Total Points Facts

  • Each of SMU's last five October games against AP-ranked teams has gone UNDER the total points line.
  • Six of Louisville's last seven games against non-AP-ranked teams have gone OVER the total points line.

Matchup/League Facts

  • Louisville ranks 6th among FBS teams for Q2 points per game this season (14.8).
  • Louisville ranks 7th among FBS teams for 1st downs against this season (57).
  • SMU ranks 16th among FBS teams for H1 points per game this season (23.2).
  • SMU ranks 16th among FBS teams for rushing yards allowed per game this season (88.8).

SMU vs Louisville Prediction

The SMU Mustangs have the offensive horses to hang with Louisville, but the defense isn't nearly as trustworthy. Also, the Louisville Cardinals have been favorites of 7 or more points 3 times this season and have covered all 3 games with an average margin of victory being 36.3 points. The SMU Mustangs are 4-8 ATS in their last 12 games as an underdog. We're only laying a touchdown. I'll lay the points with Louisville at home.

Randy’s Pick Louisville Cardinals -7

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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