Michigan vs Washington Prediction College Football Picks 10/5/24

Pick details

Washington (3-2) vs Michigan (4-1)

October 5, 2024 at 07:30 PM EDT

The Line: Betting Odds: Washington -2.5 / Michigan +2.5 — Over/Under: 41.5

(Get latest betting odds)

In this article, we will formulate a Michigan vs Washington prediction for this College Football game on Saturday, October 5th at Husky Stadium in Seattle, Washington. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this Week 6 matchup. 

Michigan Wolverines Betting Preview

The Michigan Wolverines are 4-1 (2-0) this year after they defeated Minnesota by a score of 27-24 in their last game. Michigan led 24-3 early in the fourth quarter, but they fell apart and nearly lost the game in the final minutes. The Wolverines were outgained by a total of 296-241, won the turnover battle 2-1, and went 6-15 on third down in the game. Alex Orji threw for 86 yards, one touchdown, and one interception, while Kalel Mullings rushed for 111 yards and two scores on 24 carries. 

Michigan has also defeated Fresno State, Arkansas State, and USC, but did lose to Texas at home in week two. The Michigan offense has scored 26 points per game with 115.4 passing yards and 194.8 rushing yards per game, while the defense has allowed 21.4 points per game this season. The Wolverines have gone 40% on third down and 6-7 on fourth so far this season. Alex Orji has completed 55.6% of his passes for three touchdowns and one interception, while Kalel Mullings has rushed for 540 yards and six scores. 

Washington Huskies Betting Preview

The Washington Huskies are 3-2 (1-1) this season after they lost to Rutgers by a score of 21-18 in their last game. Washington trailed 14-3 at halftime and came up just short in their comeback attempt in the fourth quarter. The Huskies outgained Rutgers by a total of 521-299, tied the turnover battle at zero, and went 2-12 on third down in the game. Will Rogers threw for 306 yards and two touchdowns, while Jonah Coleman rushed for 148 yards on 16 carries. 

Washington has also lost to Washington State this season, but they have defeated Weber State, Eastern Michigan, and Northwestern. The Washington offense has scored 25.2 points per game with 296.2 passing yards and 173.2 rushing yards per game, while the defense has allowed 12.4 points per game this season. The Huskies have gone 37.5% on third down and 3-8 on fourth down through five games. Will Rogers has completed 74.8% of his passes for 1,354 yards and 10 touchdowns, while Jonah Coleman has rushed for 521 yards and four scores. 

Why Michigan will win

  • Michigan has won each of its last 27 games against conference opponents.
  • Washington has failed to cover the spread in 13 of its last 14 October games as a favorite.
  • Michigan has covered the spread in each of its last five games in October.

Total Points Facts

  • Nine of Washington’s last 10 games have gone UNDER the total points line.
  • Six of Michigan’s last seven games as an underdog have gone OVER the total points line.

Matchup/League Facts

  • Washington ranks 10th among FBS teams for points allowed per game this season (12.4).
  • Washington ranks 10th among FBS teams for yards allowed per game this season (249.8).
  • Michigan ranks T8th among FBS teams for Q1 opponent points per game this season (1.4).
  • Michigan ranks 123rd among FBS teams for Q3 points per game this season (3.0).

Michigan vs Washington Prediction 

Washington comes into this game looking for some revenge after losing to Michigan in the National Championship last season, and they will have the home-field advantage here. The Huskies racked up a bunch of yards last week against Rutgers but still managed to lose the game. Michigan has had plenty of quarterback issues this season and their passing attack is almost nothing. On the plus side the Wolverines, have a solid defense and a strong running game. I don’t think we are going to see many points in this game, but Washington’s third-down struggles last week and struggles against the run worry me. Take Michigan to get the win. 

David Racey's Pick: Michigan ML

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