Boston College vs Virginia Prediction College Football Picks 10/5/24

Pick details

Virginia (3-1) vs Boston College (4-1)

October 5, 2024 at 12:00 PM EDT

The Line: Betting Odds: Virginia -1 / Boston College +1 — Over/Under: 53

(Get latest betting odds)

The Boston College Eagles and Virginia Cavaliers meet Saturday in week 6 college football action at Entertainment & Sports Arena. Here’s a Boston College vs Virginia Prediction. This article will include a Boston College vs Virginia Pick.

Boston College Eagles Betting Preview

The Boston College Eagles recently beat Michigan State and Western Kentucky, and they play Virginia Tech next. Boston College have won 4 of their last 6 road games. Thomas Castellanos is completing 64.3 percent of his passes for 729 yards, 10 touchdowns, and 2 interceptions. Lewis Bond and Reed Harris have combined for 428 receiving yards and 4 touchdowns, while Treshaun Ward has 8 receptions.

The Boston College Eagles ground game is averaging 175.4 yards per contest, and Ward leads the way with 275 yards and 2 touchdowns. Defensively, Boston College is allowing 15.8 points and 318.2 yards per game. Donovan Ezeiruaku leads the Boston College Eagles with 33 tackles, Neto Okpala has 1 sack and Max Tucker has 2 interceptions.

Virginia Cavaliers Betting Preview

The Virginia Cavaliers lost to Maryland, beat Coastal Carolina, and played Louisville next. The Virginia Cavaliers have lost 5 of their last 8 home games. Anthony Colandrea is completing 68.3 percent of his passes for 1,032 yards, 7 touchdowns, and 4 interceptions. Malachi Fields and Trell Harris have combined for 550 receiving yards and 4 touchdowns, while Tyler Neville has 10 receptions.

The Virginia Cavaliers ground game is averaging 195 yards per contest, and Xavier Brown leads the way with 293 yards on 33 carries. Defensively, Virginia is allowing 23.5 points and 394 yards per game. Antonio Clary leads the Virginia Cavaliers with 41 tackles, Chico Bennett Jr. has 1 sack and Jam Jackson has 3 pass deflections.

Why the Boston College Eagles will win

  • Virginia has lost eight of its last nine games against conference opponents at Scott Stadium.
  • Boston College has won 10 of its last 13 October games as an underdog against non-AP-ranked teams.
  • Boston College has covered the spread in five of its last six road games.

Total Points Facts

  • Seven of Virginia’s last eight games against conference opponents have gone OVER the total points line.
  • Each of Boston College’s last four road games has gone UNDER the total points line.

Matchup/League Facts

  • Virginia ranks T25th among FBS teams for H1 points per game this season (21.0).
  • Virginia ranks T26th among FBS teams for Q1 points per game this season (9.3).
  • Boston College ranks T24th among FBS teams for points allowed per game this season (15.8).
  • Boston College ranks 24th among FBS teams for Q2 points per game this season (12.4).

Boston College vs Virginia Prediction

I was going to give the Virginia Cavaliers the edge at home in this near-pick em spot, but the Boston College Eagles have shown us more this season. Boston College upset Florida State, beat Michigan State, and nearly upset Missouri on the road as two-touchdown underdogs. Virginia can be spotty defensively, especially against the pass, and is 3-6-1 ATS in its last 10 games as a favorite. Feels like the wrong team is favored. Give me Boston College and the free point.

Randy Chambers's Pick: Boston College Eagles +1

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