South Alabama vs LSU Prediction College Football Picks 9/28/24

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the South Alabama Jaguars

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the LSU Tigers

Recent betting trends in games played between South Alabama and LSU

A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for the South Alabama vs LSU game

South Alabama Jaguars Betting Preview

In their opener of the 2024 season, the Jaguars took on North Texas. South Alabama ended up losing that one 52-38. Another loss followed 27-20 versus Ohio in game two, but the Jags got into the win column 87-10 versus Northwestern State on September 12.

South Alabama was able to keep it going last week versus Appalachian State. The Jaguars scored double-digit points in each of the first three quarters along the way to a 48-14 blowout win. QB Gio Lopez finished with 154 yards and two scores. Tops in rushing was Fluff Bothwell with 116 yards and two TDs of his own.

LSU Tigers Betting Preview

Over on the Tigers’ side, they faced a tough matchup versus a good USC team in their opener this year and ultimately fell 27-20. LSU was able to get a win the next week 44-21 over Nicholls, then took out South Carolina 36-33 in game three.

Matched up against UCLA last weekend, the Tigers outscored the Bruins 17-0 in the second half during a 34-17 win. Garrett Nussmeier posted 352 yards with three pass scores. Leading the receivers was Mason Taylor on eight grabs for 77 yards.

Why the LSU Tigers will win

• LSU has won each of its last 17 games against non-conference opponents at Tiger Stadium.
• South Alabama has lost each of its last six games against AP-ranked teams.
• South Alabama has failed to cover the spread in each of its last three games against AP-ranked teams.
• The team ranked 14th in the AP Poll has covered the spread in each of its last three games against non-AP-ranked teams.
• LSU has won the first half in 16 of its last 17 games against non-conference opponents at Tiger Stadium.
• LSU has won the first quarter in 11 of its last 12 games against non-conference opponents at Tiger Stadium.

Why the South Alabama Jaguars will win

• LSU has failed to cover the spread in each of its last six games in September.
• The underdog has covered the spread in each of LSU's last five games.
• South Alabama has won the first half in five of its last six games against non-conference opponents.

Total Points Facts

• Thirteen of LSU's last 15 games against non-AP-ranked teams have gone OVER the total points line.
• Five of South Alabama's last six games against AP-ranked teams have gone UNDER the total points line.

South Alabama vs LSU Prediction

I might try South Alabama here. The Jaguars are coming off a rather nice road victory over App State. The running game was working overtime (320 rush yards) in that one, helping propel 27 first downs and 7.1 yards per play. The only real blemish was the nine penalties for 69 yards.

As for LSU, last weekend they posted some pretty nice offensive numbers with 454 total yards (352 passing), 27 first downs, zero turnovers, and a nice 10-of-15 rate on third downs. It was certainly a second-half victory as the Tigers improved after the break. That said, I think the Jaguars can power out a cover this weekend if they avoid mistakes.