TCU vs Michigan Prediction College Basketball Picks 11/15/24

The TCU Horned Frogs are visiting the Michigan Wolverines on Friday, November 15th at the Crisler Center. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a TCU Horned Frogs vs. Michigan Wolverines Prediction.

Michigan Wolverines Preview

The Michigan Wolverines have a balanced 1-1 record this season and are tied with Washington in the last place of the Big 10. The Wolverines are 1-1 against the spread, and 1-1 in over/under this season while having a 1-0 home record.

Offensively, Michigan is averaging 85.5 points per game, which ranks 93rd in the nation, while they are also a top-100 team defensively, allowing 62.5 points per game (72nd). The Wolverines have the 10th-best field goal percentage in the nation, with 55.3%, and are also elite from beyond the arc, with 39.2% (70th).

Michigan is coming off a 70-72 defeat in Wake Forest, not covering the spread and the game went under the 156-point total. The Wolverines did not shoot the ball well, making just 42% from the field. Roddy Gayle led Michigan’s offense with just 11 points and 4 rebounds.

Tre Donaldson leads Michigan in scoring this season, with 13 points, 5 rebounds, and a team-high 5.5 assists. LJ Cason adds 12 points and 3.5 assists. Michigan will face Miami (OH), Tarleton State, Virginia Tech, and Wisconsin after this one.

TCU Horned Frogs Preview

The TCU Horned Frogs are perfect this season with a 3-0 record and are tied with three more teams in the first place of the Big 12. The Horned Frogs are 1-2 against the spread, and 2-1 in over/under this season, while having a 6-5 road record last season.

Offensively, TCU averages 82.7 points per game, which ranks 134th in the nation, while boasting an elite defense, allowing 60.3 points per game (45th). The Horned Frogs have top-100 shooting percentages both from the field, with 51.6% (48th), and from beyond the arc, with 37.9% (92nd). 

TCU is coming off a 76-71 win against Texas State, not covering the spread and the game went over the 140.5-point total. The Horned Frogs had an efficient shooting game, making 54% from the field, but shot very poorly from the free throw line, with just 47%. Noah Reynolds led TCU’s offense with 17 points on 6-7 shooting, adding 5 assists.

Vasean Allette leads TCU’s offense with an average of 13 points and 4 rebounds, while Frankie Collins adds 11.3 points, 3.7 rebounds, and 4.3 assists.

Why the Michigan Wolverines will win

• Michigan has won 44 of its last 50 games against non-conference opponents at Crisler Center.
• Michigan has won the first half in 19 of its last 21 games against non-conference opponents at Crisler Center.

Why the TCU Horned Frogs will win

• Michigan has lost 12 of its last 13 night games against non-AP-ranked opponents.
• TCU has won 11 of its last 12 night games against non-conference opponents.
• Michigan has lost the first half in six of its last seven night games.

Total Points Facts

• Each of Michigan’s last six night games against non-conference opponents at Crisler Center has produced a total of 154+ points.
• Thirty-nine of TCU’s last 49 night games against non-AP-ranked opponents have produced a total of 151 or fewer points.

Matchup/League Facts

• Michigan ranks 9th among Division 1 teams for effective field goal percentage this season (64.0%).
• Michigan ranks 10th among Division 1 teams for field goal percentage this season (55.3%).
• TCU ranks T3rd among Division 1 teams for opponent blocks per game this season (0.7).
• TCU ranks T9th among Division 1 teams for opponent rebounds per game this season (26.7).

TCU Horned Frogs vs Michigan Wolverines Prediction

In this TCU Horned Frogs vs Michigan Wolverines Prediction, Michigan is coming as a -8.5 home favorite. Both teams boast elite offenses so far this season, scoring 168.5 points per game combined, with elite shooting percentages, as both teams are top-50 in field goal percentage and top-100 in 3-point percentage. Both defenses are looking good, but it will be hard to contain those high-octane offenses. I expect some fireworks in this game, so I’m taking the over.

Nikos Lagouretos's Pick: Over 149.5