Seattle Storm vs Las Vegas Aces Prediction 9/14/2025 Today’s WNBA Picks

The Seattle Storm and the Las Vegas Aces meet Sunday in WNBA First Round playoff action from the T-Mobile Arena. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Seattle Storm vs. Las Vegas Aces prediction.

Matchup History

The Las Vegas Aces won the most recent meeting between these two teams back on August 8th, 2025, by a final score of 90-86 back on August 8th, 2025, making it five straight meetings without back-to-back winners in this head-to-head matchup, but the Aces have still won 7 of the last 10 meetings between these two teams.

Seattle Storm Recap

The Seattle Storm come into the playoffs as the 7-seed, finishing the year with an overall record of 23-21 this season including a 13-9 mark on the road this season.

Storm Looking To Halt Aces’ Momentum

Nneka Ogwumike leads the Storm in scoring and rebounding with 18.2 PPG and 7 RPG while Skylar Diggins has 15.6 PPG with 2.5 RPG and a team-high 6 APG to lead the Storm in assists so far this season. Brittney Sykes all has 12.1 PPG with 2.6 RPG and 3.5 APG and Gabby Williams has 12 PPG with 4.4 RPG, 4.2 APG and 2.3 SPG as well this season. Erica Wheeler also has 10.2 PPG with 2.7 RPG and 3.3 APG to cap off the group of double-digit scorers for Seattle. Ezi Magbegor also has 8.1 PPG with 6.1 RPG and 2.1 APG as well so far this season. As a team, Seattle is averaging 82.4 PPG on 45.2% shooting from the field, 34.1% from three and 77.3% from the foul line so far this season.

Las Vegas Aces Recap

The Las Vegas Aces come into the postseason as the 2-seed, finishing the year with an overall record of 30-14, including a 17-5 mark at home this season. 

Aces Enter Playoffs On 16-Game Win Streak

A’Ja Wilson leads the Aces across the board with 21.5 PPG along with 9.1 RPG to go along with 3.3 APG, 2.3 BPG and 1.7 SPG. Jackie Young has 16.6 PPG with 4.1 RPG and 4.5 APG as well this season. Chelsea Gray has chipped in 11 PPG with 4.1 RPG and 4.5 APG and Jewell Loyd’s added 11.4 PPG with 3.7 RPG to round out the group of double-digit scorers for Las Vegas so far this season. As a team, Las Vegas is averaging 81.4 PPG on 42% shooting from the field, 32.4% from three and 82.3% from the foul line this season.

Seattle Storm @ Las Vegas Aces Betting Trends: September 14, 2025

Why the Las Vegas Aces will win

• The Aces have won each of their last 16 games.
• The Storm have lost each of their last six games following a home win.
• The Aces have covered the spread in each of their last eight games against Western Conference opponents.
• The Storm have failed to cover the spread in each of their last six games following a home win.

Why the Seattle Storm will win

• The Storm have won six of their last seven games as underdogs.
• The Aces have lost three of their last four playoff games.
• The underdogs have covered the spread in each of the Storm’s last seven games.
• The Aces have failed to cover the spread in four of their last five playoff games.

Total Points Facts

• Seven of the Aces’ last eight home games against Western Conference opponents have gone OVER the total points line.
• Each of the Storm’s last five road games against the Aces following a home win have gone UNDER the total points line.

Las Vegas Aces Player Facts

• A’ja Wilson ranks 1st amongst qualified players for points per game (23.4) this season.
• Jewell Loyd has hit 5+ three-pointers in two consecutive appearances – longest active streak of any player in the league.

Seattle Storm Player Facts

• Skylar Diggins has recorded 2+ assists in 85 consecutive appearances – longest active streak of any player in the league.
• Ezi Magbegor has recorded 2+ blocks in seven consecutive appearances – equal-longest active streak of any player in the league.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Las Vegas Aces rank 1st for opponent blocks per game this season (2.6).
• The Las Vegas Aces rank 12th for opponent free throw percentage this season (81.5%).
• The Seattle Storm rank 12th for offensive rebounds per game this season (6.9).
• The Seattle Storm rank 1st for steals per game this season (8.5).

Seattle Storm vs. Las Vegas Aces Prediction

I’m rolling with the Aces here. I haven’t been impressed with the Storm for much of the season, and the Aces just continue to deliver time after time, and while the Aces didn’t look very good earlier this season, I feel like this is the time of year where the Aces turn it on. I think the Aces get the job done to draw first blood in this series, so give me the Aces laying the points here.