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Phoenix Mercury vs Seattle Storm Prediction 5/23/25 WNBA Picks

Pick details

Seattle Storm (1-1) vs Phoenix Mercury (2-0)

May 23, 2025 at 10:00 PM EDT

The Line: Betting Odds: Seattle Storm -5.5 — Over/Under: 156.5

(Get latest betting odds)

The Phoenix Mercury and the Seattle Storm meet Friday in WNBA action from Climate Pledge Arena. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Phoenix Mercury vs. Seattle Storm prediction.

Matchup History

The Phoenix Mercury won the first meeting between these two teams by a final score of 81-59 in the season opener back on May 17th, 2025. The win was just the second for Phoenix in the last nine head-to-head meetings between these two teams.

Phoenix Mercury Recap

The Phoenix Mercury come into this game looking to add on to their 89-86 win over the Los Angeles Sparks last time out to improve to 2-0 on the year. After this game, the Mercury will welcome the Washington Mystics to town for a matchup.

Mercury Looking To Remain Unbeaten In First Road Game

Satou Sabally leads the Mercury in scoring with 26 PPG along with 5.5 RPG, 2 APG and 2 SPG while Alyssa Thomas has 19.5 PPG with team-highs of 6 RPG and 6.5 APG as the only other double-digit scorer for Phoenix so far this season. Kathryn Westbeld has also chipped in 7.5 PPG with 5.5 RPG as well on the year while Kitija Laksa has 9 PPG with 4 APG and 2 SPG so far this season. As a team, Phoenix is averaging 85 PPG on 46.4% shooting from the field, 33.3% from three-point range and 72.9% from the foul line so far this season.

Seattle Storm Recap

The Seattle Storm come into this game looking to build on their 79-71 win over the Dallas Wings last time out to improve their record to 1-1 on the year. After this game, the Storm will square off against the Las Vegas Aces at home.

Storm Win First Game Of The Year

Skylar Diggins leads the Storm in scoring and assists with 21 PPG and 6.5 APG along with 2 SPG while Nneka Ogwumike has 17.5 PPG with 12.5 RPG to lead the Storm on the glass, averaging a double-double per game. Gabby Williams has 10.5 PPG with 4.5 APG and 2.5 SPG along with 2 BPG as well this season to cap off the trio of double-digit scorers for Seattle so far this season. Ezi Magbegor also has 8 RPG and 2.5 APG as well so far this season. As a team, Seattle is averaging 69 PPG on 37.6% shooting from the field, 37.5% from three and 66.7% from the foul line so far this season.

Phoenix Mercury vs. Seattle Storm Prediction

I’m on the Mercury and the points here. I just can’t see myself in a world where I can truthfully justify backing the Storm here. The Storm were a fantastic team in their own building last season. However a win over the Dallas Wings, even on the road, doesn’t really move the needle for me all that much with this team and I still don’t know how they’re going to get along this season without Jewell Loyd contributing to a lot of the scoring load. Phoenix has been a two-headed monster with Sabally and Thomas, but I think that that could be enough in this game to at least keep it close if not give themselves a chance to win it outright. Give me the Mercury and the points.

Chris Ruffolo's Pick: Phoenix Mercury +5.5

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