Phoenix Mercury vs Portland Fire Prediction 6/5/2026 Today’s WNBA Picks

The Phoenix Mercury and the Portland Fire meet Friday in WNBA action from the Moda Center. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Phoenix Mercury vs. Portland Fire prediction.

Phoenix Mercury Recap

The Phoenix Mercury come into this game looking to build on their 72-68 win over the Seattle Storm last time out to sit at 3-8 this season. After this game, the Mercury will head on the road for a game against the Golden State Valkyries.

Mercury Snap Six-Game Slide

Kahleah Copper leads the Mercury in scoring with 18.4 PPG along with 2.1 APG while Alyssa Thomas has 16.7 PPG with 7.2 RPG and a team-high 8.1 APG to lead the Mercury in assists this season. Jovana Nogic has 13.3 PPG and Monique Akoa Makani has 11 PPG to cap off the scoring in double figures for Phoenix up to this point in the year. Natasha Mack has 9.8 PPG with 8.2 RPG to lead the Mercury in rebounding as well on the year.

Portland Fire Recap

The Portland Fire come into this game looking to bounce back from a 95-77 loss at the hands of the Golden State Valkyries last time out to sit at 6-5 this season. After this game, the Fire will head on the road for a game against the Los Angeles Sparks.

Fire Alternate Wins & Losses In 4 Straight

Carla Leite has 16.3 PPG with 4 APG while Bridget Carleton’s added 15.3 PPG with 3.4 RPG and 2.1 APG.  Sug Sutton also has 11.3 PPG with 5.7 APG to cap off the group of double-digit scorers for Portland so far this season. Sarah Ashlee Barker has 9.1 PPG with 4.8 RPG while Emily Engstler has 8.6 PPG with 3.4 RPG and Megan Gustafson has 9 PPG. Luisa Geiselsoder has 6 PPG with 3.9 RPG as well this season.

Phoenix Mercury @ Portland Fire Betting Trends: June 5, 2026

Why the Portland Fire will win

• The Mercury have lost each of their last six games against Western Conference opponents that held a winning record.
• The favorites have won each of the Mercury’s last five games.
• The Mercury have failed to cover the spread in each of their last 15 Friday road games.
• The home team has covered the spread in three of the Fire’s last four games.

Why the Phoenix Mercury will win

• The Mercury have won eight of their last 10 night games against teams that held a winning record.
• The Fire have failed to cover the spread in three of their last four night games at Moda Center.

Total Points Facts

• Seven of the Mercury’s last eight night games against Western Conference opponents have gone OVER the total points line.
• Each of the Fire’s last three night games at Moda Center have gone UNDER the total points line.

Portland Fire Player Facts

• Carla Leite ranks 1st amongst qualified players for FT% (96.3%) this season.
• Megan Gustafson is the only player to have made 8+ field goals without a miss in a game this season.

Phoenix Mercury Player Facts

• Natasha Mack ranks 1st amongst qualified players for FG% (71.9%) this season.
• Jovana Nogic ranks 1st amongst qualified players for three-pointers made per 36 minutes (4.2) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Portland Fire rank 14th for opponent assists per game this season (22.0).
• The Portland Fire rank 14th for offensive rebounds per game this season (6.7).
• The Phoenix Mercury rank 1st for free throws made per game this season (20.7).
• The Phoenix Mercury rank 14th for field goals made per game this season (26.9).

Phoenix Mercury vs. Portland Fire Prediction

I’m on the Fire here. I still think the Mercury are still the most overrated team in the WNBA based on last season’s success and the fact is this isn’t the same team from last season. I think the Fire are just the better team here and I think the Fire get the win and cover here. Give me the Fire.

Chris Ruffolo's Pick: Portland -2.5