The Las Vegas Aces and the Phoenix Mercury meet Sunday in WNBA action from the PHX Arena. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Las Vegas Aces vs. Phoenix Mercury prediction.

Matchup History

The Phoenix Mercury won the lone meeting between these two teams this season by a final score of 76-70 back on June 15^th, 2025. The Mercury are 5-1 ATS in the last six head-to-head meetings but the road team has also won the last four meetings in a row.

Las Vegas Aces Recap

The Las Vegas Aces come into this game looking to bounce back from a 94-83 loss at the hands of the Washington Mystics last time out to sit at 7-8 on the year. After this game, the Aces will head on the road to continue their trip with a game against the Indiana Fever.

Aces Drop 6 Of Their Last 9

A’Ja Wilson leads the Aces across the board with 21.2 PPG along with 9.2 RPG to go along with 3.5 APG, 2.8 BPG and 2 SPG. Jackie Young has 18.2 PPG with 4.3 RPG and 3.7 APG as well this season. Chelsea Gray has chipped in 14.2 PPG with 4.1 RPG and 4.3 APG and Jewell Loyd’s added 11.5 PPG with 4.6 RPG to round out the group of double-digit scorers for Las Vegas so far this season. As a team, Las Vegas is averaging 80.7 PPG on 40.7% shooting from the field, 34.5% from three and 84.5% from the foul line this season.

Phoenix Mercury Recap

The Phoenix Mercury come into this game looking to build on their 106-91 win over the Liberty last time out to sit at 12-4 on the year. After this game, the Mercury will head on the road for the first leg of a home-and-home against the Dallas Wings.

Mercury Win 6 In A Row

Satou Sabally leads the Mercury in scoring with 19.6 PPG along with 7.9 RPG, 2.6 APG and 1.4 SPG while Alyssa Thomas has 14.6 PPG with 7.4 RPG and 9.5 APG and Kahleah Copper has 13 PPG to cap off the double-digit scorers for Phoenix so far this season. Lexi Held’s added 8.7 PPG while Monique Akoa Makani has 8.4 PPG. Kitija Laksa has 9.5 PPG as well on the year. Sami Whitcomb also has 9.8 PPG with 3.5 RPG and 2.5 APG this season. As a team, Phoenix is averaging 83.8 PPG on 43.5% shooting from the field, 34.4% from three-point range and 79.4% from the foul line so far this season.

Las Vegas Aces vs. Phoenix Mercury Prediction

I’m on the Mercury here. I get the case to be made for the Aces, but the Aces for me are not the same team that they were last season and while they’re still a solid team loaded with all-stars, the Mercury have looked like one of the better teams in the WNBA since getting healthy with Alyssa Thomas and Kahleah Copper coming back into the fold and I think they deliver a message at home here. Give me the Mercury laying the points at home.

Chris Ruffolo's Pick: Phoenix -6.5