Aug 17, 2025; San Francisco, California, USA;  Golden State Valkyries guard Veronica Burton (22) dribbles upcourt in the second quarter against Atlanta Dream guard Te-Hina Paopao (2) at Chase Center. Mandatory Credit: David Gonzales-Imagn Images

Phoenix Mercury vs Golden State Valkyries Prediction 8/19/2025 Today’s WNBA Picks

Pick details

Phoenix (20-13) vs Golden State (18-16)

August 19, 2025 at 10:00 PM EDT

The Line: Betting Odds: Golden State +7 — Over/Under: +154.5

(Get latest betting odds)

The Phoenix Mercury and the Golden State Valkyries meet Tuesday in WNBA action from the Chase Center. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Phoenix Mercury vs. Golden State Valkyries prediction.

Matchup History

The Phoenix Mercury won both meetings between these two teams this season following a 78-77 win over the Valkyries in Golden State back on July 14th, 2025.

Phoenix Mercury Recap

The Phoenix Mercury come into this game looking to add on to their 85-82 win over the Seattle Storm last time out to sit at 20-13 on the year. After this game, the Mercury will head on the road for a game against the Las Vegas Aces.

Mercury Looking To Build Momentum

Satou Sabally leads the Mercury in scoring with 17.5 PPG along with 6.6 RPG, 2.3 APG and 1.3 SPG while Alyssa Thomas has 15.8 PPG with 8.6 RPG and 9.1 APG and Kahleah Copper has 16.2 PPG. Sami Whitcomb also has 10 PPG with 2.9 RPG and 2.7 APG while DeWanna Bonner has 10.4 PPG in 10 games so far with Phoenix to cap off the double-digit scorers for Phoenix so far this season. Lexi Held’s added 6.8 PPG while Monique Akoa Makani has 8.4 PPG. Kitija Laksa has 6.7 PPG as well on the year. As a team, Phoenix is averaging 83.3 PPG on 43.5% shooting from the field, 33.6% from three-point range and 77.9% from the foul line so far this season.

Golden State Valkyries Recap

The Golden State Valkyries come into this game looking to rebound thanks to a 79-63 loss at the hands of the Atlanta Dream last time out to sit at 18-16 this season. After this game, the Valkyries will head on the road for the rematch of this home-and-home against the Mercury.

Valkyries Have Four-Game Win Streak Snapped

Kayla Thornton leads the Valkyries in scoring and rebounding with 14 PPG and 7 RPG along with 1.3 SPG, but is missing the rest of the season because of an injury while Veronica Burton has 10.8 PPG with 4.2 RPG and a team-high 5 APG to lead the Valkyries in the assist department. Tiffany Hayes has 11.9 PPG with 4 RPG and Janelle Salaun has 10.1 PPG with 4.8 RPG to cap off the scoring in double figures for Golden State so far this season. Iliana Rupert has 8.8 PPG with 3.9 RPG and Temi Fagbenle has 7.6 PPG with 5.4 RPG while Monique Billings has 7.5 PPG with 4.7 RPG as well this season. Cecelia Zandalasini has 9.5 PPG and Kaila Charles has 7.8 PPG and 4.8 RPG in 4 games played as well this season. As a team, Golden State is averaging 77.7 PPG on 40.1% shooting from the field, 30.1% from three and 80.8% from the foul line this season.

Phoenix Mercury vs. Golden State Valkyries Prediction

I’m on the Mercury here. I know the Valkyries catching points at home is tempting considering how solid this Golden State team has been, especially at home. However, the Mercury for me are one of the best teams in the WNBA when fully healthy and at their peak and Golden State for me just is too defensive-minded to hang with a team like Phoenix. Give me the Mercury.

Chris Ruffolo's Pick: Phoenix -7

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