Phoenix Mercury vs Chicago Sky Prediction 8/3/2026 Today’s WNBA Picks

The Phoenix Mercury and the Chicago Sky meet Monday in WNBA action from the Wintrust Arena. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Phoenix Mercury vs. Chicago Sky prediction.

Matchup History

The Chicago Sky won the most recent meeting between these two teams back on July 7th, 2026, by a final score of 77-66, snapping Phoenix’s eight-game head-to-head win streak in this matchup.

Phoenix Mercury Recap

The Phoenix Mercury come into this game looking to bounce back from a 94-92 loss at the hands of the New York Liberty last time out to sit at 11-19 this season. After this game, the Mercury will head on the road for a game against the Atlanta Dream.

Mercury Have Three-Game Win Streak Snapped

Kahleah Copper leads the Mercury in scoring with 20.9 PPG while Alyssa Thomas has 14.9 PPG with 7.1 RPG and a team-high 8.3 APG to lead the Mercury in assists this season. Jovana Nogic has 10.4 PPG and DeWanna Bonner has 10.2 PPG with 5.8 RPG to cap off the scoring in double figures for Phoenix up to this point in the year. Natasha Mack also has 8.8 PPG with 7.4 RPG as well this season to lead the Mercury in rebounding.

Chicago Sky Recap

The Chicago Sky come into this game looking to add on to their 84-83 win over Las Vegas last time out to sit at 11-18 this season. After this game, the Sky will take on the Los Angeles Sparks in a matchup at home.

Sky Win Back-To-Back Games

Kamilla Cardoso has 14.3 PPG with 8.4 RPG to lead the Sky in rebounding along with 2.5 APG. Sydney Taylor has 14.7 PPG and Azura Stevens has 11.6 PPG with 6.9 RPG. Natasha Cloud has 10 PPG with 3.1 RPG and 4.6 APG while Skylar Diggins has 14.2 PPG with 4.9 APG to lead the Sky in assists and to cap off the group of double-digit scorers for Chicago this season. 

Phoenix Mercury @ Chicago Sky Betting Trends: August 3, 2026

Why the Chicago Sky will win

• The home team has won each of the Sky’s last eight games.
• The Mercury have lost seven of their last eight night games against Eastern Conference opponents.
• The Sky have covered the spread in each of their last eight games at Wintrust Arena.
• The Mercury have failed to cover the spread in 10 of their last 11 night games against teams that held a losing record.

Why the Phoenix Mercury will win

• The Sky have lost each of their last 14 games after winning as underdogs.
• The favorites have won each of the Mercury’s last nine games at Wintrust Arena.
• The Sky have failed to cover the spread in each of their last eight home games after winning as underdogs.
• The favorites have covered the spread in each of the Mercury’s last six games at Wintrust Arena.

Total Points Facts

• Each of the Mercury’s last six games against the Sky following a home loss have gone OVER the total points line.
• Four of the Sky’s last five night games have gone OVER the total points line.

Chicago Sky Player Facts

• Aicha Coulibaly has recorded the most three-point field goal attempts without a make (14) of any player in the league this season.
• Kamilla Cardoso has recorded the most field goal attempts without a three-point attempt (272) of any player in the league this season.

Phoenix Mercury Player Facts

• Alyssa Thomas ranks 1st amongst qualified players for assists per game (8.3) this season.
• DeWanna Bonner ranks last amongst 49 qualified players for three-point field-goal percentage (25.4%) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Chicago Sky rank 1st for opponent three-point percentage this season (30.8%).
• The Chicago Sky rank 1st for opponent three-point field goals made per game this season (7.4).
• The Phoenix Mercury rank 14th for opponent free throw percentage this season (80.9%).
• The Phoenix Mercury rank 1st for opponent free throw attempts per game this season (18.3).

Phoenix Mercury vs. Chicago Sky Prediction

I’m on the Sky in this one. I just think Chicago is in the better spot here as we may see the Mercury debut of Kelsey Plum in this game and while Plum is quite the addition, it will take a game or two to get acclimated to her new team and new surroundings for the chemistry. I think Chicago takes advantage of that with a win and cover at home here.

Chris Ruffolo's Pick: Chicago +1.5