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Phoenix Mercury vs Atlanta Dream Prediction 07/23/2025 Picks
Pick details
Atlanta (13-10) vs Phoenix (15-7)
July 23, 2025 at 10:00 PM EDT
The Line: Betting Odds: Phoenix -8 — Over/Under: +163.5
The Atlanta Dream and the Phoenix Mercury meet Wednesday in WNBA action from the PHX Arena. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s an Atlanta Dream vs. Phoenix Mercury prediction.
Matchup History
These two teams have not met yet this season, but the Mercury won the most recent meeting between these two teams back on September 3rd, 2024 by a final score of 74-66, making it back-to-back wins for the Mercury in this head-to-head matchup.
Atlanta Dream Recap
The Atlanta Dream come into this game looking to rebound from an 87-72 loss at the hands of the Las Vegas Aces last time out to slip to 13-10 on the year. After this game, the Dream will head on the road for a date with the Minnesota Lynx.
Dream Drop 6 Of Their Last 9
Allisha Gray leads the Dream in scoring with 18.6 PPG and 3.9 APG while also chipping in 5.7 RPG and Rhyne Howard has 16.5 PPG with 5 RPG and 4.5 APG as well this season. Brionna Jones has 13.1 PPG with a team-high 7.7 RPG to lead the Dream on the glass and Jordin Canada has 10.5 PPG with 3.6 RPG and 5.4 APG. Brittney Griner’s also chipped in 10.2 PPG and 5.7 RPG to cap off the group of double-digit scorers for Atlanta up to this point in the season. As a team, the Dream are averaging 83.3 PPG on 42.8% shooting from the field, 32.4% from three and 75.7% from the foul line this season.
Phoenix Mercury Recap
The Phoenix Mercury will be out to bounce back from a 79-66 loss at the hands of the Minnesota Lynx last time out to sit at 15-7 on the year. After this game, the Mercury will begin a road trip with a game against the New York Liberty.
Mercury Have Three-Game Win Streak Snapped
Satou Sabally leads the Mercury in scoring with 19.1 PPG along with 7.7 RPG, 2.6 APG and 1.4 SPG while Alyssa Thomas has 15.2 PPG with 7.3 RPG and 9.5 APG and Kahleah Copper has 16.7 PPG. Sami Whitcomb also has 10.8 PPG with 3.3 RPG and 2.8 APG while DeWanna Bonner has 13.3 PPG in 3 games so far with Phoenix to cap off the double-digit scorers for Phoenix so far this season. Lexi Held’s added 8.7 PPG while Monique Akoa Makani has 8.6 PPG. Kitija Laksa has 7.8 PPG as well on the year. As a team, Phoenix is averaging 83.4 PPG on 43.3% shooting from the field, 34.5% from three-point range and 77.6% from the foul line so far this season.
Atlanta Dream vs. Phoenix Mercury Prediction
I’m on the under in this one. I get the case to be made for either side in this game, but it’s a far from ideal spot for the Dream on a true back-to-back, while the Mercury could be a bit rusty being their first game back from the break and there’s still a lot of injuries within this Mercury rotation. I’ll side with the under in this one.