Aug 28, 2025; Brooklyn, New York, USA;  New York Liberty forward Breanna Stewart (30) drives to the basket in the fourth quarter against the Washington Mystics at Barclays Center. Mandatory Credit: Wendell Cruz-Imagn Images

New York Liberty vs Phoenix Mercury Prediction 8/30/2025 Today’s WNBA Picks

Pick details

New York (24-15) vs Phoenix (24-14)

August 30, 2025 at 10:00 PM EDT

The Line: Betting Odds: Phoenix -2 — Over/Under: +167

(Get latest betting odds)

The New York Liberty and the Phoenix Mercury meet Saturday in WNBA action from the PHX Arena. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a New York Liberty vs. Phoenix Mercury prediction.

Matchup History

The New York Liberty won the most recent meeting between these two teams by a final score of 89-76 back on July 25th, 2025, snapping Phoenix’s two-game win streak in this head-to-head matchup.

New York Liberty Recap

The New York Liberty come into this game looking to add on to their 89-63 win over the Washington Mystics last time out to sit at 24-15 this season. After this game, the Liberty will head on the road for a game against the Golden State Valkyries.

Liberty Win Back-To-Back Games

Sabrina Ionescu leads the Liberty in scoring with 18.8 PPG with 5.4 APG and 4.9 RPG while Breanna Stewart has 18.4 PPG with 6.5 RPG and 3.7 APG. Jonquel Jones has 15 PPG with a team-high 8.7 RPG to lead the Liberty in rebounding and Natasha Cloud has 10 PPG with 3.7 RPG and a team-high 5.4 APG to lead the Liberty in assists. Emma Meesseman also has 13.2 PPG with 5.5 RPG and 3.6 APG to cap off the scoring in double figures for the Liberty so far this season. Kennedy Burke has also chipped in 8.7 PPG and 2.3 RPG while Leonie Fiebich has 9 PPG with 3.6 RPG as well this season. As a team, New York is averaging 85.6 PPG on 45.4% shooting from the field, 35.6% from three and 83.6% from the foul line this season.

Phoenix Mercury Recap

The Phoenix Mercury come into this game looking to add on to their 83-79 win over the Chicago Sky last time out to sit at 24-14 this season. After this game, the Mercury will take on the Indiana Fever in a game at home.

Mercury Win Three Straight & 5 Of Last 6

Satou Sabally leads the Mercury in scoring with 16.9 PPG along with 6.3 RPG, 2.5 APG and 1.3 SPG while Alyssa Thomas has 15.9 PPG with 9 RPG and 9.3 APG and Kahleah Copper has 15.4 PPG. DeWanna Bonner has 11.5 PPG in 18 games so far with Phoenix to cap off the double-digit scorers for Phoenix so far this season. Sami Whitcomb also has 9.4 PPG with 2.9 RPG and 2.5 APG while Lexi Held’s added 5.8 PPG and Monique Akoa Makani has 8.1 PPG. Kitija Laksa has 6 PPG as well on the year. As a team, Phoenix is averaging 83.2 PPG on 43.4% shooting from the field, 33.6% from three-point range and 79.1% from the foul line so far this season.

New York Liberty vs. Phoenix Mercury Prediction

I’m on the Liberty here. I like this Mercury team but when the Liberty are healthy, the’re a very imposing team and a very tough team to knock off. New York hasn’t been the best when laying points but when catching points with them, that’s another story. Give me New York and the free bucket here.

Chris Ruffolo's Pick: New York +2

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