New York Liberty vs Los Angeles Sparks Prediction 7/28/2026 Today’s WNBA Picks

The New York Liberty and the Los Angeles Sparks meet Tuesday in WNBA action from the Crypto.com Arena. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a New York Liberty vs. Los Angeles Sparks prediction.

Matchup History

The Los Angeles Sparks won the most recent meeting between these two teams back on June 21st, 2026, by a final score of 98-97, making it six straight meetings between these two teams without back-to-back winners.

New York Liberty Recap

The New York Liberty come into this game looking to add on to their 95-94 win over Chicago last time out to sit at 16-12 on the year. After this game, the Liberty will head on the road for a game against the Las Vegas Aces.

Liberty Win Back-To-Back Games

Breanna Stewart has 20.5 PPG along with 8.5 RPG and 2.8 APG while Jonquel Jones has 15.2 PPG with 9.1 RPG and Pauline Astier has 10 PPG with 3 RPG and 3.8 APG. Satou Sabally has 10.4 PPG with 2.8 RPG while Sabrina Ionescu has 10.7 PPG with 3.5 RPG and 3.8 APG and Leonie Fiebich has 10 PPG with 2.6 RPG to cap off the scoring in double figures for the Liberty this season.

Los Angeles Sparks Recap

The Los Angeles Sparks come into this game looking to shake off an 86-82 loss to Phoenix in their last game to sit at 10-16 this season. After this game, the Sparks will head on the road for a game against the Portland Fire.

Sparks Lose 5 In A Row

Kelsey Plum leads the Sparks in scoring with 23.9 PPG along with 6.4 APG while Nneka Ogwumike has 17.3 PPG with 8.9 RPG. Dearica Hamby’s added 14.6 PPG with 7.5 RPG and 2.3 APG while Rae Burrell’s added 12.9 PPG to cap off the group of double-digit scorers for Los Angeles so far this season. Cameron Brink has 9.3 PPG with 4.3 RPG and Ariel Atkins also has 8.9 PPG with 2.9 RPG and 2.6 APG. Erica Wheeler also has 8.8 PPG with a team-high 5 APG to lead the Sparks in assists.

New York Liberty @ Los Angeles Sparks Betting Trends: July 28, 2026

Why the Los Angeles Sparks will win

• The Sparks have won five of their last six games as home underdogs after losing as favorites.
• The Liberty have lost four of their last five games as road favorites.
• The Liberty have failed to cover the spread in each of their last nine games as favorites.
• The underdogs have covered the spread in each of the Liberty’s last four games.

Why the New York Liberty will win

• The Sparks have lost seven of their last eight night games against teams that held a winning record.
• The Liberty have won seven of their last eight games following a home win.
• The Sparks have failed to cover the spread in 11 of their last 13 night games at Crypto.com Arena.
• The road team has covered the spread in four of the Sparks’ last five games.

Total Points Facts

• Eight of the last nine games between the Sparks and Liberty have gone OVER the total points line.
• Each of the Liberty’s last five games have gone OVER the total points line.

Los Angeles Sparks Player Facts

• Erica Wheeler has recorded 4+ assists in 14 consecutive appearances – equal-longest active streak of any player in the league.
• Nneka Ogwumike is the only qualified player in the league to be leading their team in rebounds per game (9.1) and free-throw percentage (85.3%) this season.

New York Liberty Player Facts

• Sabrina Ionescu has recorded 1+ assists in 224 consecutive appearances – longest active streak of any player in the league.
• Breanna Stewart has recorded 7+ rebounds in seven consecutive appearances – equal-longest active streak of any player in the league.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Los Angeles Sparks rank 14th for opponent assists per game this season (22.5).
• The Los Angeles Sparks rank 14th for opponent field goal percentage this season (47.6%).
• The New York Liberty rank 14th for steals per game this season (6.0).
• The New York Liberty rank 1st for free throw percentage this season (84.9%).

New York Liberty vs. Los Angeles Sparks Prediction

I’m on the over here. I think the Liberty score at will as the Sparks are still one of the WNBA’s least imposing defenses this season. However, I’m not trying to lay this kind of number with New York on the road as the Liberty continue to battle injuries, have sleepwalked through games in certain spots where they should coast, and have had a tendency to let teams hang around often this season. I think this ends up being a high-scoring game so give me the over here.

Chris Ruffolo's Pick: Over 183.5