Minnesota Lynx vs Phoenix Mercury Prediction 07/16/2025 Picks

The Phoenix Mercury and the Minnesota Lynx meet Wednesday in WNBA action from the Target Center. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Phoenix Mercury vs. Minnesota Lynx prediction.

Matchup History

The Phoenix Mercury won the most recent meeting between these two teams back on July 9^th, 2025, by a final score of 79-71, snapping Minnesota’s six-game win streak in this head-to-head matchup.

Phoenix Mercury Recap

The Phoenix Mercury come into this game looking to build on their 78-77 win over the Golden State Valkyries last time out to sit at 15-6 on the year. After the all-star break, Phoenix will take on the Atlanta Dream at home.

Mercury Win 3 Straight & 8 Of Last 10

Satou Sabally leads the Mercury in scoring with 19.1 PPG along with 7.7 RPG, 2.6 APG and 1.4 SPG while Alyssa Thomas has 15.4 PPG with 7.4 RPG and 9.6 APG and Kahleah Copper has 16.7 PPG. Sami Whitcomb also has 10.9 PPG with 3.5 RPG and 2.7 APG while DeWanna Bonner has 14.5 PPG in 2 games so far with Phoenix to cap off the double-digit scorers for Phoenix so far this season. Lexi Held’s added 8.7 PPG while Monique Akoa Makani has 8.6 PPG. Kitija Laksa has 7.9 PPG as well on the year. As a team, Phoenix is averaging 84.2 PPG on 43.6% shooting from the field, 34.8% from three-point range and 78.3% from the foul line so far this season.

Minnesota Lynx Recap

The Minnesota Lynx come into this game looking to add on to their 91-78 win over the Chicago Sky last time out to sit at 19-4 on the year. After the all-star break, the Lynx will take on the Chicago Sky in a rematch at home.

Lynx Alternate Wins & Losses In 5 Straight

Napheesa Collier leads the Lynx in scoring with 23.9 PPG along with 7.7 RPG and 3.5 APG while Courtney Williams has added 14.1 PPG with 5.2 RPG and a team-high 6 APG to lead the Lynx in the assist department. Kayla McBride’s logged 14.1 PPG and 3.1 APG to round out the group of double-digit scorers for Minnesota up to this point in the season. Alanna Smith’s added 9.5 PPG with 5.5 RPG and 2.8 APG and Natisha Hiedeman has 7.6 PPG with 3 APG so far this season. As a team, Minnesota is averaging 84.9 PPG on 45.9% shooting from the field, 34.7% from three and 80.5% from the foul line this season.

Phoenix Mercury vs. Minnesota Lynx Prediction

I’m on the Lynx here. I get the case to be made for the Mercury who are a quality team that’s playing some really solid basketball right now, but the thing is that the Lynx have been a tough out at home and already beat this same Mercury team convincingly earlier at home as well. Now granted, the addition of DeWanna Bonner has paid early dividends, but I think that the Lynx have just too much firepower at home here to slip up here. Give me Minnesota.