Las Vegas Aces vs Seattle Storm Prediction 9/16/2025 Today’s WNBA Picks

The Las Vegas Aces and the Seattle Storm meet Tuesday in WNBA First Round playoff action from the Climate Pledge Arena. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Las Vegas Aces vs. Seattle Storm prediction.

Game One Recap

The Las Vegas Aces drew first blood in the best-of-three series thanks to a 102-77 win over the Storm in game one. A’Ja Wilson led the Aces with 29 points on 10 of 18 shooting with 8 rebounds and 3 steals and Jackie Young chipped in 18 points with 4 threes and a team-high 7 assists with 4 steals. Jewell Loyd and Dana Evans added 14 and 13 points respectively off of the bench and NaLyssa Smith had 11 points with a team-high 9 rebounds to cap off the double-digit scoring for the Aces in the win. Gabby Williams led Seattle with 16 points on 8 of 13 shooting while Dominique Malonga had 12 points with 11 rebounds off of the bench for the double-double. Skylar Diggins, Nneka Ogwumike and Erica Wheeler each had 10+ points to cap off Seattle’s scoring in double figures in the losing effort.

Las Vegas Aces Team Stats

A’Ja Wilson leads the Aces across the board with 21.5 PPG along with 9.1 RPG to go along with 3.3 APG, 2.3 BPG and 1.7 SPG. Jackie Young has 16.6 PPG with 4.1 RPG and 4.5 APG as well this season. Chelsea Gray has chipped in 11 PPG with 4.1 RPG and 4.5 APG and Jewell Loyd’s added 11.4 PPG with 3.7 RPG to round out the group of double-digit scorers for Las Vegas so far this season. As a team, Las Vegas is averaging 81.4 PPG on 42% shooting from the field, 32.4% from three and 82.3% from the foul line this season.

Seattle Storm Team Stats

Nneka Ogwumike leads the Storm in scoring and rebounding with 18.2 PPG and 7 RPG while Skylar Diggins has 15.6 PPG with 2.5 RPG and a team-high 6 APG to lead the Storm in assists so far this season. Brittney Sykes all has 12.1 PPG with 2.6 RPG and 3.5 APG and Gabby Williams has 12 PPG with 4.4 RPG, 4.2 APG and 2.3 SPG as well this season. Erica Wheeler also has 10.2 PPG with 2.7 RPG and 3.3 APG to cap off the group of double-digit scorers for Seattle. Ezi Magbegor also has 8.1 PPG with 6.1 RPG and 2.1 APG as well so far this season. As a team, Seattle is averaging 82.4 PPG on 45.2% shooting from the field, 34.1% from three and 77.3% from the foul line so far this season.

Las Vegas Aces @ Seattle Storm Betting Trends: September 16, 2025

Why the Seattle Storm will win

• The underdogs have won eight of the Storm’s last 10 games at Climate Pledge Arena.
• The Aces have lost three of their last four road playoff games.
• The underdogs have covered the spread in each of the Storm’s last 10 games at Climate Pledge Arena.
• The Aces have failed to cover the spread in four of their last five road playoff games.

Why the Las Vegas Aces will win

• The Aces have won each of their last 17 games.
• The Storm have lost each of their last six playoff games.
• The Storm have failed to cover the spread in each of their last 11 night games at Climate Pledge Arena.
• The Aces have covered the spread in each of their last nine games against Western Conference opponents.

Total Points Facts

• Each of the Storm’s last five home playoff games have gone OVER the total points line.
• Each of the Aces’ last seven Tuesday games have gone UNDER the total points line.

Seattle Storm Player Facts

• Skylar Diggins has recorded 2+ assists in 86 consecutive appearances – longest active streak of any player in the league.
• Gabby Williams ranks 1st amongst qualified players for steals per 36 minutes (2.6) this season.

Las Vegas Aces Player Facts

• A’ja Wilson ranks 1st amongst qualified players for points per game (23.4) this season.
• Jackie Young has hit 4+ three-pointers in two consecutive appearances – longest active streak of any player in the league.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Seattle Storm rank 12th for offensive rebounds per game this season (6.9).
• The Seattle Storm rank 1st for steals per game this season (8.5).
• The Las Vegas Aces rank 1st for opponent blocks per game this season (2.6).
• The Las Vegas Aces rank 12th for opponent free throw percentage this season (81.5%).

Las Vegas Aces vs. Seattle Storm Prediction

I’m on the Aces here. I just don’t see the Storm putting up enough of a fight to snap the Aces’ run right now as Las Vegas just looks like the Aces team that was expected to show up and be a contender from day one. Better late than never though, and I think that the Aces pour it on once again to get the series win and advance. Give me the Aces here.