Mercury forward Satou Sabally (0) yells out to the referee as they play the New York Liberty at PHX Arena on Aug 30, 2025, in Phoenix.

Indiana Fever vs Phoenix Mercury Prediction 9/2/2025 Today’s WNBA Picks

Pick details

Indiana (21-19) vs Phoenix (25-14)

September 2, 2025 at 10:00 PM EDT

The Line: Betting Odds: Phoenix -6 — Over/Under: +166

(Get latest betting odds)

The Indiana Fever and the Phoenix Mercury meet Tuesday in WNBA action from the PHX Arena. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s an Indiana Fever vs. Phoenix Mercury prediction.

Matchup History

The Phoenix Mercury won the most recent meeting between these two teams back on August 7th, 2025, by a final score of 95-60, snapping Indiana’s six-game win streak in this head-to-head matchup.

Indiana Fever Recap

The Indiana Fever come into this game looking to rebound from a 75-63 loss at the hands of the Golden State Valkyries last time out to slip to 22-19 this season. After this game, the Fever will head home for a game against the Chicago Sky.

Fever Have Two-Game Win Streak Snapped

Kelsey Mitchell leads the Fever in scoring with 20.3 PPG along with 3.4 APG while Caitlin Clark has 16.5 PPG with 5 RPG and a team-high 8.8 APG to lead the Fever in assists, but is out with no timetable for a return with an injury. Aliyah Boston has 15.4 PPG with a team-high 8.3 RPG and 3.6 APG to lead the Fever in rebounding and Natasha Howard has 11.3 PPG with 6.7 RPG. Odyssey Sims has 10.6 PPG and 4.1 APG in 8 games played so far to cap off the scoring in double figures for the Fever so far this season. Lexie Hull has added 7 PPG with 4.4 RPG. Sophie Cunningham also has 8.6 PPG with 3.5 RPG as well on the year. As a team, Indiana is averaging 84.5 PPG on 45.3% shooting from the field, 34.2% from three and 77% from the foul line this season.

Phoenix Mercury Recap

The Phoenix Mercury come into this game looking to add on to their 80-63 win over the Liberty last time out to improve to 25-14 on the year. After this game, the Mercury will head on the road for a game against the Washington Mystics.

Mercury Win Four In A Row

Satou Sabally leads the Mercury in scoring with 16.6 PPG along with 6.1 RPG, 2.5 APG and 1.3 SPG while Alyssa Thomas has 15.8 PPG with 8.9 RPG and 9.2 APG and Kahleah Copper has 16.3 PPG. DeWanna Bonner has 11.2 PPG in 20 games so far with Phoenix to cap off the double-digit scorers for Phoenix so far this season. Sami Whitcomb also has 9.1 PPG with 2.8 RPG and 2.6 APG while Lexi Held’s added 5.7 PPG and Monique Akoa Makani has 8 PPG. Kitija Laksa has 6 PPG as well on the year. As a team, Phoenix is averaging 83.1 PPG on 43.4% shooting from the field, 33.8% from three-point range and 78.8% from the foul line so far this season.

Indiana Fever vs. Phoenix Mercury Prediction

I’m on the Mercury here. Indiana is on the fringe of the playoffs with the Sparks gaining ground and there’s only so many chances the Fever have to pull away in the race. However, the Mercury are trying to lock up home court in the first round as well, which is big considering Phoenix has been much stronger at home this season and I think Phoenix shows that here. Give me the Mercury.

Chris Ruffolo's Pick: Phoenix -6

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