Indiana Fever vs Phoenix Mercury Prediction 8/7/2025 Today’s WNBA Picks

The Indiana Fever and the Phoenix Mercury meet Thursday in WNBA action from the PHX Arena. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s an Indiana Fever vs. Phoenix Mercury prediction.

Matchup History

The Indiana Fever won the most recent meeting between these two teams by a final score of 107-101 back on July 30^th, 2025. The win made it six straight victories for the Fever in this head-to-head matchup.

Indiana Fever Recap

The Indiana Fever come into this game looking to bounce back from a 100-91 loss at the hands of the Los Angeles Sparks last time out to slip to 18-13 this season. After this game, the Fever will head home for a game against the Chicago Sky.

Fever Have Five-Game Win Streak Snapped

Kelsey Mitchell leads the Fever in scoring with 20 PPG along with 3 APG while Caitlin Clark has 16.5 PPG with 5 RPG and a team-high 8.8 APG to lead the Fever in assists, but is out with no timetable for a return with an injury. Aliyah Boston has 15.5 PPG with a team-high 8.4 RPG and 3.8 APG to lead the Fever in rebounding and Natasha Howard has 11.8 PPG with 6.8 RPG. Aari McDonald has 10.1 PPG with 4.8 APG to cap off the scoring in double figures for the Fever so far this season. Lexie Hull has added 6.6 PPG with 4.1 RPG. Sophie Cunningham also has 8 PPG with 3.8 RPG as well on the year. As a team, Indiana is averaging 85.3 PPG on 45% shooting from the field, 34.1% from three and 77.7% from the foul line this season.

Phoenix Mercury Recap

The Phoenix Mercury come into this game looking to add on to their 82-66 win over the Connecticut Sun last time out to sit at 18-11 this season. After this game, the Mercury will head home for a game against the Atlanta Dream.

Mercury Win Back-To-Back Games

Satou Sabally leads the Mercury in scoring with 17.5 PPG along with 6.6 RPG, 2.3 APG and 1.3 SPG while Alyssa Thomas has 15.8 PPG with 8.6 RPG and 9.1 APG and Kahleah Copper has 16.2 PPG. Sami Whitcomb also has 10 PPG with 2.9 RPG and 2.7 APG while DeWanna Bonner has 10.4 PPG in 10 games so far with Phoenix to cap off the double-digit scorers for Phoenix so far this season. Lexi Held’s added 6.8 PPG while Monique Akoa Makani has 8.4 PPG. Kitija Laksa has 6.7 PPG as well on the year. As a team, Phoenix is averaging 83.3 PPG on 43.5% shooting from the field, 33.6% from three-point range and 77.9% from the foul line so far this season.

Indiana Fever vs. Phoenix Mercury Prediction

I’m on the Mercury here. I get the case to be made for the Fever here considering the Mercury’s recent run of form has come against the two worst teams in the WNBA in the Sun and Sky, so it’s hard to give a ton of merit to those wins. However, the Mercury are still as healthy as they’ve been, and while I do like Indiana’s depth, I think that the Mercury just have the better team here and pull away late to get the win and cover. Give me Phoenix here.

Chris Ruffolo's Pick: Phoenix -3.5