Indiana Fever vs Las Vegas Aces Prediction 7/12/2026 Today’s WNBA Picks

The Indiana Fever and the Las Vegas Aces meet Sunday in WNBA action from the T-Mobile Arena. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s an Indiana Fever vs. Las Vegas Aces prediction.

Matchup History

The Indiana Fever won the most recent meeting between these two teams back on July 5th, 2026, by a final score of 84-68, making it four straight meetings without back-to-back winners in this head-to-head matchup.

Indiana Fever Recap

The Indiana Fever come into this game looking to build on their 92-89 win over the Phoenix Mercury last time out to sit at 13-9 this season. After this game, the Fever will take on the Golden State Valkyries at home.

Fever Win 4 Of Last 6

Kelsey Mitchell leads the Fever in scoring with 21.6 PPG along with 2.6 APG while Caitlin Clark has 21.2 PPG with 4 RPG and a team-high 8.2 APG to lead the Fever in assists. Aliyah Boston also has 17 PPG with 8.6 RPG and 2.9 APG to cap off the group of double-digit scorers for the Fever so far this season. Sophie Cunningham has 9.6 PPG with 2.6 RPG and Monique Billings also has 6.8 PPG with 5.1 RPG this season.

Las Vegas Aces Recap

The Las Vegas Aces come into this game looking to add on to their 106-58 blowout win over Phoenix last time out to sit at 17-7 this season. After this game, the Aces will head on the road for a game against the Toronto Tempo.

Aces Win Back-To-Back Games

A’Ja Wilson leads the Aces in scoring with 26 PPG along with 9.4 RPG and 2.9 APG while NaLyssa Smith’s added 12 PPG with 6.3 RPG. Chelsea Gray’s added 12.3 PPG with 7.3 APG to lead the Aces in assists and Jackie Young also has 16.5 PPG with 4.5 RPG and 6.8 APG to cap off the group of double-digit scorers for the Aces up to this point in the season.

Indiana Fever @ Las Vegas Aces Betting Trends: July 12, 2026

Why the Las Vegas Aces will win

• The Fever have lost 14 of their last 15 night games against Aces teams that held a winning record.
• The Aces have won 13 of their last 14 night games against Eastern Conference opponents.
• The Fever have failed to cover the spread in seven of their last eight night games against Aces teams that held a winning record.
• The Aces have covered the spread in five of their last six games on the second leg of a back-to-back against Eastern Conference opponents.

Why the Indiana Fever will win

• The Aces have lost three of their last four games as favorites following a home win.
• The Fever have won four of their last six games as underdogs following a road win.
• The Aces have failed to cover the spread in each of their last six Sunday games against Eastern Conference opponents that held a winning record.
• The Fever have covered the spread in three of their last four games.

Total Points Facts

• Each of the Aces’ last six games against the Fever following a home win have gone UNDER the total points line.
• Seven of the Fever’s last eight games as underdogs against opponents who are on the second leg of a back-to-back have gone OVER the total points line.

Las Vegas Aces Player Facts

• A’ja Wilson ranks 1st amongst qualified players for points per game (25.8) this season.
• Chelsea Gray ranks 1st amongst qualified players for FT% (95.0%) this season.

Indiana Fever Player Facts

• Aliyah Boston ranks 1st amongst qualified players for 3P% (46.4%) this season.
• Kelsey Mitchell has scored 20+ points in six consecutive appearances – longest active streak of any player in the league.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Las Vegas Aces rank 1st for assists per game this season (22.7).
• The Las Vegas Aces rank 1st for opponent blocks per game this season (2.4).
• The Indiana Fever rank 1st for points per game this season (93.3).
• The Indiana Fever rank 1st for opponent three-point field goals made per game this season (6.9).

Indiana Fever vs. Las Vegas Aces Prediction

I’m on the Aces in this one. I get the case to be made for the Fever, but let’s call it what it is here, the Fever are just outmatched here as the Aces are the far better team in my opinion in this matchup. All in all, I don’t think that the Aces have many problems dealing with the Fever here and I’ll back the Aces for the win and cover at home.

Chris Ruffolo's Pick: Las Vegas -4.5