Sep 10, 2025; Uncasville, Connecticut, USA; Atlanta Dream guard Rhyne Howard (10) shoots the ball against the Connecticut Sun during the first half at Mohegan Sun Arena. Mandatory Credit: Eric Canha-Imagn Images

Indiana Fever vs Atlanta Dream Prediction 9/18/2025 Today’s WNBA Picks

Pick details

Indiana (24-20) vs Atlanta (30-14)

September 18, 2025 at 07:30 PM EDT

The Line: Betting Odds: Atlanta -7.5 — Over/Under: +154

(Get latest betting odds)

The Indiana Fever and the Atlanta Dream meet Thursday in WNBA First Round playoff action from the Gateway Center Arena. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s an Indiana Fever vs. Atlanta Dream prediction.

Game Two Recap

The Indiana Fever managed for force a game three after picking up a 77-60 win over the Dream on Tuesday. Kelsey Mitchell led the Fever with 19 points on 6 of 13 shooting with 4 threes and 4 assists while Aliyah Boston had 15 points on 7 of 12 shooting with 5 rebounds and 3 assists. Natasha Howard had 12 points to cap off Indiana’s scoring in double figures in the win while Aerial Powers had a team-high 7 rebounds. For Atlanta, Te-Hina Paopao added 11 points with 3 threes while Rhyne Howard added 10 points as the only other double-digit scorer for the Dream in the loss. Naz Himmon and Allisha Gray each had a team-high 7 rebounds while Jordin Canada added a team-high 6 assists.

Indiana Fever Stats

Kelsey Mitchell leads the Fever in scoring with 20.3 PPG along with 3.4 APG while Caitlin Clark has 16.5 PPG with 5 RPG and a team-high 8.8 APG to lead the Fever in assists, but is out for the rest of the season with an injury. Aliyah Boston has 15.4 PPG with a team-high 8.3 RPG and 3.6 APG to lead the Fever in rebounding and Natasha Howard has 11.3 PPG with 6.7 RPG. Odyssey Sims has 10.6 PPG and 4.1 APG in 8 games played so far to cap off the scoring in double figures for the Fever so far this season. Lexie Hull has added 7 PPG with 4.4 RPG. Sophie Cunningham also has 8.6 PPG with 3.5 RPG as well on the year. As a team, Indiana is averaging 84.5 PPG on 45.3% shooting from the field, 34.2% from three and 77% from the foul line this season.

Atlanta Dream Stats

Allisha Gray leads the Dream in scoring with 18.7 PPG and 3.6 APG while also chipping in 5.4 RPG and Rhyne Howard has 16.6 PPG with 4.5 RPG and 4.6 APG as well this season. Brionna Jones has 12.9 PPG with a team-high 7.2 RPG to lead the Dream on the glass and Jordin Canada has 12 PPG with 3.5 RPG and 5.7 APG. Brittney Griner’s also chipped in 10 PPG and 5.4 RPG to cap off the group of double-digit scorers for Atlanta up to this point in the season. As a team, the Dream are averaging 83.4 PPG on 43.9% shooting from the field, 33.1% from three and 77.7% from the foul line this season.

Indiana Fever @ Atlanta Dream Betting Trends: September 18, 2025

Why the Atlanta Dream will win

  • The Fever have lost each of their last 12 road games against Eastern Conference opponents that held a winning record.
  • The Dream have won each of their last 10 home games against Eastern Conference opponents.
  • The Fever have failed to cover the spread in each of their last eight road games against Eastern Conference opponents that held a winning record.
  • The Dream have covered the spread in each of their last seven games as favorites after losing as favorites.

Why the Indiana Fever will win

  • The Dream have lost seven of their last eight playoff games.
  • The Fever have won four of their last six games as underdogs.
  • The Fever have covered the spread in each of their last four night games.
  • The Dream have failed to cover the spread in six of their last eight playoff games.

Total Points Facts

  • Seven of the Fever’s last eight games have gone UNDER the total points line.
  • Each of the Dream’s last four home games against the Fever have gone UNDER the total points line.

Atlanta Dream Player Facts

  • Allisha Gray ranks 1st amongst qualified Guards for rebounds per game (5.3) this season.
  • Rhyne Howard ranks 1st amongst qualified players for three-pointers made per game (3.1) this season.

Indiana Fever Player Facts

  • Kelsey Mitchell ranks 1st amongst qualified players in the Eastern Conference for points per game (20.2) this season.
  • Aliyah Boston ranks 1st amongst qualified Centers for assists per game (3.7) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Atlanta Dream rank 1st for rebounds per game this season (36.6).
  • The Atlanta Dream rank 1st for opponent rebounds per game this season (31.4).
  • The Indiana Fever have recorded the largest comeback win after HT this season – trailed by 19 points @ Connecticut Sun on August 17.
  • The Indiana Fever have scored 90+ points in 10 home games this season – most in the WNBA.

Indiana Fever vs. Atlanta Dream Prediction

I’m on the Fever here. I get the case to be made for the Dream at home, but in an all-important game three, I think the Fever throw everything at Atlanta in this one. I think who wins this game is a toss-up, so give me the points with Atlanta in this one with the points.

Chris Ruffolo's Pick: Indiana +7.5

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