Golden State Valkyries vs Minnesota Lynx Prediction 9/14/2025 Today’s WNBA Picks

The Golden State Valkyries and the Minnesota Lynx meet Sunday in WNBA First Round playoff action from the Target Center. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Golden State Valkyries vs. Minnesota Lynx prediction.

Matchup History

The Minnesota Lynx have won all four meetings between these two teams thanks to a 72-53 win over the Valkyries back on September 11th, 2025.

Golden State Valkyries Recap

The Golden State Valkyries come into this one as the 8-seed, finishing with an overall record of 23-21 on the year, posting a road record of 9-13 this season.

Valkyries Looking To Spring Upset In Franchise Playoff Debut

Kayla Thornton leads the Valkyries in scoring and rebounding with 14 PPG and 7 RPG along with 1.3 SPG, but is missing the rest of the season because of an injury while Veronica Burton has 12 PPG with 4.3 RPG and a team-high 5.8 APG to lead the Valkyries in the assist department. Tiffany Hayes has 11.7 PPG with 3.8 RPG and Janelle Salaun has 10.8 PPG with 4.8 RPG. Cecelia Zandalasini has 11.2 PPG to cap off the scoring in double figures for Golden State so far this season. Iliana Rupert has 9.6 PPG with 3.5 RPG and Temi Fagbenle has 7.1 PPG with 5 RPG while Monique Billings has 7.5 PPG with 4.7 RPG as well this season. As a team, Golden State is averaging 78.8 PPG on 41.1% shooting from the field, 33.2% from three and 81.8% from the foul line this season.

Minnesota Lynx Recap

The Minnesota Lynx come into this game as the 1-seed, finishing with the best record in the WNBA this season at 34-10, including a 20-3 mark at home this season.

Lynx Looking To Finish The Job In 2025

Napheesa Collier leads the Lynx in scoring with 23.4 PPG along with 7.7 RPG and 3.3 APG while Courtney Williams has added 13.9 PPG with 4.9 RPG and a team-high 6.3 APG to lead the Lynx in the assist department. Kayla McBride’s logged 15.1 PPG and 3.5 APG to round out the group of double-digit scorers for Minnesota up to this point in the season. Alanna Smith’s added 9.9 PPG with 5.3 RPG and 2.8 APG and Natisha Hiedeman has 7.8 PPG with 2.6 APG so far this season. As a team, Minnesota is averaging 86.7 PPG on 47.2% shooting from the field, 37.9% from three and 76.5% from the foul line this season.

Golden State Valkyries @ Minnesota Lynx Betting Trends: September 14, 2025

Why the Minnesota Lynx will win

• The Valkyries have lost each of their last nine games against Western Conference opponents that held a winning record.
• The Lynx have won 13 of their last 14 home games against Western Conference opponents.
• The Lynx have covered the spread in nine of their last 10 home games against Western Conference opponents.
• The Valkyries have failed to cover the spread in eight of their last nine games against Western Conference opponents that held a winning record.

Why the Golden State Valkyries will win

• The Lynx have lost three of their last four games as favorites following a home win.
• The Valkyries have won three of their last four road games following a road loss.
• The Lynx have failed to cover the spread in each of their last seven Sunday day games at Target Center.
• The underdogs have covered the spread in four of the Lynx’s last five playoff games.

Total Points Facts

• Each of the Lynx’s last five games as favorites following a home win have gone OVER the total points line.
• Each of the Valkyries’ last four games as underdogs following a road loss have gone UNDER the total points line.

Minnesota Lynx Player Facts

• Napheesa Collier ranks 1st amongst qualified Forwards for points per game (22.9) this season.
• Courtney Williams ranks 1st amongst qualified Guards for assists per game (6.2) this season.

Golden State Valkyries Player Facts

• Iliana Rupert ranks 1st amongst qualified Centers for three-pointers made per game (2.2) this season.
• Temi Fágbénlé has recorded 2+ steals in two consecutive appearances – equal-longest active streak of any player in the league.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Minnesota Lynx rank 1st for points per game this season (86.1).
• The Minnesota Lynx rank 1st for point differential per game this season (+9.4).
• The Golden State Valkyries rank 1st for opponent points per game this season (76.3).
• The Golden State Valkyries rank 12th for assists per game this season (18.5).

Golden State Valkyries vs. Minnesota Lynx Prediction

I’m on the Valkyries and the points here. I think the Lynx get the win here and three of the four wins have been by double-digits for the Lynx in this head-to-head matchup, but the Valkyries were a really solid underdog this season, and I think that they give the Lynx a fight here. I think Minnesota wins, but I think Golden State isn’t going to just be happy to be here. They’re going to battle. So give me Golden State and the points here.