Connecticut Sun vs Washington Mystics Prediction 7/28/2026 Today’s WNBA Picks

The Connecticut Sun and the Washington Mystics meet Tuesday in WNBA action from the CareFirst Arena. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Connecticut Sun vs. Washington Mystics prediction.

Matchup History

The Connecticut Sun won the most recent meeting between these two teams by a final score of 68-57 back on June 26th, 2026, making it 3 wins in the last 4 head-to-head meetings for Connecticut.

Connecticut Sun Recap

The Connecticut Sun come into this game looking to bounce back from a 123-88 loss at the hands of Indiana last time out to sit at 7-20 this season. After this game, the Sun will head on the road for a game against the Chicago Sky.

Sun Lose Back-To-Back Games

Aneesah Morrow is averaging 10.5 PPG and 9.4 RPG while Brittney Griner has 13.8 PPG with 5.7 RPG and Leila Lacan has 13.3 PPG with 4.6 APG to cap off the group of double-digit scorers for Connecticut so far this season. Aaliyah Edwards has added 9.9 PPG with 4 RPG and Olivia Nelson-Ododa also has 9.2 PPG with 5.6 RPG as well this season. Diamond Miller also has 8.6 PPG with 2.3 RPG as well this season.

Washington Mystics Recap

The Washington Mystics come into this game looking to add on to their 100-99 win over Las Vegas last time out to sit at 14-12 this season. After this game, the Mystics will have a back-to-back against the Dallas Wings.

Mystics Win Back-To-Back Games

Sonia Citron leads the Mystics in scoring with 17.3 PPG along with 3.9 RPG and 3.7 APG while Shakira Austin has 14.5 PPG with 8.2 RPG and Kiki Iriafen also has 15.1 PPG with a team-high 8.6 RPG to lead the Mystics on the glass and Michaela Onyenwere has 12.5 PPG with 3.1 RPG to cap off the group of double-digit scorers for Washington. Georgia Amoore also has 5.7 PPG and a team-high 3.9 APG to lead the Mystics in assists.

Connecticut Sun @ Washington Mystics Betting Trends: July 28, 2026

Why the Washington Mystics will win

• The Sun have lost each of their last 11 games against Eastern Conference opponents that held a winning record.
• The Mystics have won five of their last six night games against Eastern Conference opponents.
• The Sun have failed to cover the spread in five of their last six road games against Mystics teams that held a winning record.
• The Mystics have covered the spread in four of their last five games.

Why the Connecticut Sun will win

• The underdogs have won each of the last four games between the Mystics and Sun.
• The Mystics have lost four of their last six games as favorites against Eastern Conference opponents.
• The Mystics have failed to cover the spread in each of their last seven games as home favorites.
• The underdogs have covered the spread in 13 of the Mystics’ last 14 games at CareFirst Arena.

Total Points Facts

• Each of the Mystics’ last nine home games following a home win have gone UNDER the total points line.
• Each of the Sun’s last five road games against Eastern Conference opponents have gone OVER the total points line.

Washington Mystics Player Facts

• Michaela Onyenwere ranks 2nd amongst qualified players for 3P% (43.2%) this season.
• Shakira Austin ranks 3rd amongst qualified players for rebounds per game (9.5) this season.

Connecticut Sun Player Facts

• Charlisse Leger-Walker has recorded five games with 3+ assists and zero turnovers this season – equal-most of any player in the league.
• Leila Lacan has recorded 1+ steals + blocks in each of her last 29 games – longest active streak of any player in the league.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Washington Mystics rank 14th for points per game this season (80.8).
• The Washington Mystics rank 1st for rebounds per game this season (37.0).
• The Connecticut Sun rank 14th for opponent free throws made per game this season (19.0).
• The Connecticut Sun have suffered the largest comeback loss after Q1 this season – led by -14 points @ Chicago Sky on June 5.

Connecticut Sun vs. Washington Mystics Prediction

I’m on the Sun and the points here. I’ve learned this season that whenever I have expectation for the Mystics is when Washington has a tendency to let me down and I’m not falling for it here. The Sun are not a bad underdog in spots and I think they’re live to win this game as I wouldn’t be shocked if Washington put up another dud here. Give me Connecticut.

Chris Ruffolo's Pick: Connecticut +5.5