Aug 31, 2025; San Francisco, California, USA; Indiana Fever guard Kelsey Mitchell (0) dribbles against the Golden State Valkyries during the third quarter at Chase Center. Mandatory Credit: Darren Yamashita-Imagn Images

Chicago Sky vs Indiana Fever Prediction 9/5/2025 Today’s WNBA Picks

Pick details

Chicago (10-30) vs Indiana (21-20)

September 5, 2025 at 07:30 PM EDT

The Line: Betting Odds: Indiana -11 — Over/Under: +161

(Get latest betting odds)

The Chicago Sky and the Indiana Fever meet Friday in WNBA action from the Gainbridge Fieldhouse. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Chicago Sky vs. Indiana Fever prediction.

Matchup History

The Indiana Fever won the most recent meeting between these two teams in a 92-70 victory over the Sky back on August 9th, 2025. The win gave the Fever five straight wins in this head-to-head matchup.

Chicago Sky Recap

The Chicago Sky come into this game looking to add on to their 88-64 win over Connecticut last time out to sit at 10-30 this season. After this game, the Sky will head on the road for a back-to-back against the Las Vegas Aces.

Sky Snap Four-Game Skid

Angel Reese leads the Sky in scoring and rebounding, averaging a double-double per game with 14.3 PPG and 12.4 RPG along with 3.7 APG while Kamilla Cardoso has 13.4 PPG with 8.4 RPG. Ariel Atkins has 13.8 PPG with 3.4 RPG and 3.6 APG, rounding out the group of double-digit scorers for Chicago so far this season. Rachel Banham has 9.2 PPG with 2.5 APG while Elizabeth Williams has added 8.5 PPG with 5.2 RPG as well on the year. As a team, Chicago is averaging 75.9 PPG on 42.2% shooting from the field, 32.9% from three-point range and 76.2% from the foul line so far this season.

Why the Chicago Sky will win

  • The Fever have lost three of their last four games as favorites.
  • The underdogs have won three of the Fever’s last four games.
  • The Sky have covered the spread in each of their last six night games.
  • The Fever have failed to cover the spread in each of their last four games as favorites.

Chicago Sky Player Facts

  • Elizabeth Williams has recorded the most field goal attempts without a three-point attempt (307) of any player in the league this season.
  • Kamilla Cardoso ranks 1st amongst qualified players for second chance points per game (3.8) this season.

Indiana Fever Recap

The Indiana Fever come into this game looking to rebound from their loss at the hands of the Phoenix Mercury last time out to sit at 22-20 on the year. After this game, the Fever will head on the road for a game against the Washington Mystics.

Fever Drop Back-To-Back Games

Kelsey Mitchell leads the Fever in scoring with 20.3 PPG along with 3.4 APG while Caitlin Clark has 16.5 PPG with 5 RPG and a team-high 8.8 APG to lead the Fever in assists, but is out for the rest of the season with an injury. Aliyah Boston has 15.4 PPG with a team-high 8.3 RPG and 3.6 APG to lead the Fever in rebounding and Natasha Howard has 11.3 PPG with 6.7 RPG. Odyssey Sims has 10.6 PPG and 4.1 APG in 8 games played so far to cap off the scoring in double figures for the Fever so far this season. Lexie Hull has added 7 PPG with 4.4 RPG. Sophie Cunningham also has 8.6 PPG with 3.5 RPG as well on the year. As a team, Indiana is averaging 84.5 PPG on 45.3% shooting from the field, 34.2% from three and 77% from the foul line this season.

Why the Indiana Fever will win

  • The Sky have lost 20 of their last 21 night games against teams that held a winning record.
  • The Fever have won eight of their last nine home games following a road loss.
  • The Fever have covered the spread in each of their last eight games against the Sky.
  • The Sky have failed to cover the spread in each of their last four games at Gainbridge Fieldhouse.

Indiana Fever Player Facts

  • Kelsey Mitchell ranks 1st amongst qualified players in the Eastern Conference for points per game (20.5) this season.
  • Aliyah Boston ranks 1st amongst qualified Centers for assists per game (3.7) this season.

Total Points Facts

  • Thirteen of the Sky’s last 15 night games at Gainbridge Fieldhouse have gone UNDER the total points line.
  • Each of the last four night games between the Fever and Sky at Gainbridge Fieldhouse have gone UNDER the total points line.

Chicago Sky vs. Indiana Fever Prediction

I’m on the Sky and the points here. The Sky are missing the postseason, but I just don’t have any desire to lay this heavy of a number with the Fever now that Caitlin Clark’s been ruled out for the rest of the season. Maybe that will allow the Fever to focus more here without the distraction, but I still think the Sky can have an edge on the glass and to keep this one close. Give me the Sky and the points.

Chris Ruffolo's Pick: Chicago +11

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