Sep 21, 2026; Brooklyn, New York, USA;  Atlanta Dream forward Angel Reese (5) reacts after scoring in the first quarter against the New York Liberty at Barclays Center. Mandatory Credit: Wendell Cruz-Imagn Images
IMAGN IMAGES via Reuters Connect

Atlanta Dream vs New York Liberty Prediction 9/23/2026 Today’s WNBA Picks

Pick details

MATCHUP Atlanta Dream New York Liberty
Team Records 29-14 26-17
Spread -2.5 -115 +2.5 -105
Moneyline -142 +120
Total Over 175.5 (-112) Under 175.5 (-108)
Where Barclays Center, Brooklyn, NY
When Wednesday, September 23, 2026
Time 08:00 PM EDT
TV USA Net

The Atlanta Dream and the New York Liberty meet Wednesday in WNBA action from the Barclays Center. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s an Atlanta Dream vs. New York Liberty prediction.

Matchup History

The Atlanta Dream won the most recent meeting between these two teams on Monday by a final score of 95-84, making it six straight meetings without back-to-back winners in this head-to-head matchup.

Atlanta Dream Recap

The Atlanta Dream come into this game looking to add on to their win over New York last time out to improve to 29-14 this season.

Dream Win 4 Straight

Allisha Gray leads the Dream in scoring with 19.3 PPG while Rhyne Howard has added 18.3 PPG with 3.8 RPG and 3.6 APG. Three more Dream players average double figures in scoring as well this season including Angel Reese who has 16.1 PPG and a team-high 12.4 RPG, and Jordin Canada who has 11.6 PPG with 3.7 RPG and a team-high 7.4 APG to cap off the group of double-digit scorers for Atlanta so far this season. Naz Hillmon also has 9.1 PPG with 4.6 RPG as well for the Dream up to this point in the year.

New York Liberty Recap

The New York Liberty come into this game looking to bounce back from their loss at the hands of the Dream last time out to sit at 26-17 this season. 

Liberty Have Three-Game Win Streak Snapped

Breanna Stewart leads the Liberty in scoring with 20.4 PPG along with 8.1 RPG and 3.2 APG so far this season. Four more Liberty players average double figures in scoring as well this season including Sabrina Ionescu who has 15.1 PPG with 4.0 RPG and 4.7 APG, Jonquel Jones with 14.6 PPG and a team-high 9.0 RPG on the glass, Satou Sabally with 10.4 PPG and 2.8 RPG, and Leonie Fiebich who adds 10.2 PPG with 3.0 RPG to cap off the group of double-digit scorers for New York. Pauline Astier also has 9.2 PPG with 2.5 RPG and a team-high 3.4 APG to lead the Liberty in assists up to this point in the year.

Atlanta Dream @ New York Liberty Betting Trends: September 23, 2026


Why the New York Liberty will win

  • The Liberty have won seven of their last eight home games against Eastern Conference opponents that held a winning record.
  • The Dream have lost four of their last five games at Barclays Center.
  • The Liberty have covered the spread in six of their last seven home games against Eastern Conference opponents that held a winning record.
  • The Dream have failed to cover the spread in three of their last four games as underdogs against Eastern Conference opponents.

Why the Atlanta Dream will win

  • The Dream have won each of their last six road games.
  • The Liberty have lost three of their last four games against Eastern Conference opponents that held a winning record.
  • The Dream have covered the spread in each of their last nine games as underdogs.
  • The Liberty have failed to cover the spread in seven of their last eight night games against Eastern Conference opponents.

Total Points Facts

  • Each of the Liberty’s last seven home games following a home loss have gone UNDER the total points line.
  • Each of the Dream’s last five games as underdogs following a road win have gone UNDER the total points line.

New York Liberty Player Facts

  • Sabrina Ionescu has recorded 1+ assists in 239 consecutive appearances – longest active streak of any player in the league.
  • Breanna Stewart has made 4+ free throws in eight consecutive appearances – longest active streak of any player in the league.

Atlanta Dream Player Facts

  • Angel Reese ranks 1st amongst qualified players for rebounds per game (12.3) this season.
  • Jordin Canada is the only player in the league to have recorded 7+ steals in a game this season.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The New York Liberty rank 14th for steals per game this season (6.1).
  • The New York Liberty rank 1st for free throw percentage this season (84.3%).
  • The Atlanta Dream rank 1st for offensive rebounds per game this season (10.6).
  • The Atlanta Dream rank 1st for opponent offensive rebounds per game this season (6.3).

Atlanta Dream vs. New York Liberty Prediction

I’m on the Dream here. I get the case to be made for either side in this game, but the problem here for the Liberty is that they’re locked into the 7/8 seed, and the Dream can secure the 4-seed with a win while also keeping their momentum going. I think we’re getting a free bucket with the better team so give me Atlanta and the points.

Chris Ruffolo's Pick: Atlanta +2.5

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