WTA Finals Prediction: Swiatek vs Keys 11/1/2025 Today’s Tennis Picks

World No. 2 Iga Swiatek will face World No. 7 Madison Keys in the first match of the 2025 WTA Finals in Riyadh. The match is scheduled for Saturday, November 1. Here’s our Iga Swiatek vs Madison Keys prediction. This preview will also include an Iga Swiatek vs Madison Keys pick.

Iga Swiatek vs Madison Keys Preview

Iga Swiatek is the second seed at the WTA Finals and is set to finish the 2025 season as World No. 2 behind Aryna Sabalenka. Swiatek has qualified for the WTA Finals for the fifth year running. She was champion in 2023 when the event was staged in Mexico, but has exited the tournament in the group stage twice, including last year when the event was held in Riyadh. Swiatek won two matches but was still eliminated.

Swiatek was the second player to qualify for the year-end championships after winning her sixth Grand Slam at Wimbledon. She also won the WTA 1000 in Cincinnati and the Korea Open in Seoul. Overall, Swiatek has a 61-15 record this season and last competed in Wuhan, where she lost to Jasmine Paolini in the quarterfinals.

Madison Keys is the World No. 7 but could still finish lower than that at the end of the year. Keys has enjoyed a great season in 2025, winning her long-awaited first Grand Slam title at the Australian Open, defeating both Swiatek and Sabalenka to lift the trophy.

Keys also made the quarterfinals of the French Open, which was a respectable result on her least favorite surface. But she underachieved at Wimbledon and the US Open. In the latter, she was knocked out in the first round by Mexico’s Renata Zarazua. That defeat in New York was the last time we saw Keys play competitively. She withdrew from all subsequent tournaments. Keys has compiled a 37-13 record with title wins in Adelaide and the Australian Open.

Iga Swiatek vs Madison Keys Head-To-Head

Swiatek and Keys have met seven times. Swiatek leads the head-to-head 5-2. They have played twice in 2025. Keys saved a match point to beat Swiatek in a classic at the Australian Open, but Swiatek got her revenge at the Madrid Open on clay.

Iga Swiatek vs Madison Keys Prediction

This is expected to be one-sided. Keys is making her second appearance at the WTA Finals and first since 2016. But she has been out of action with an undisclosed injury since that shocking first-round loss at the US Open. If Swiatek comes out swinging early on, she’ll turn this into one of her trademark lopsided victories.