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Tommy Paul vs Marcos Giron Prediction 2/26/25 Acapulco Tennis Picks

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ATP Acapulco Prediction: Tommy Paul vs Marcos Giron

February 26, 2025 at 07:00 PM EST

The Line: Betting Odds: Tommy Paul -303 / Marcos Giron +220

(Get latest betting odds)

Tommy Paul and Marcos Giron clash in the second round of the 2025 ATP Mexican Open in Acapulco on Wednesday, February 26, 2025. Here’s our Tommy Paul vs Marcos Giron prediction. This article will also include a Tommy Paul vs Marcos Giron pick.

 

Tommy Paul Preview

Tommy Paul is coming off a straight sets win against Canadian qualifier Gabriel Diallo. The match took 16 games to decide and about an hour and 15 minutes of playing time.

In the victory over Diallo, the American won 6-2, 6-2. He hit 18 winners and 22 unforced errors, including zero aces and three double faults.

Paul landed 54% of first serves and won 68% of first serve points (21/31). He won 65% of second serve points (17/26) and saved all five break points on his serve.

The third seed compiled 47% of return points (22/47) and broke Diallo’s serve four times. Paul improves from a disappointing showing at this tournament last year when he was knocked out in the first round.

Paul is now 10-3 in the win-loss column for 2025, making at least two semifinals and one quarterfinal.

 

Marcos Giron Preview

Marcos Giron, for his part, beat Australian qualifier Adam Walton in straight sets. The match took 21 games to decide and about an hour and 36 minutes of playing time.

In the victory over Walton, Giron won 7-6, 6-2. He hit 33 winners and 31 unforced errors, including 12 aces and just one double fault.

Giron landed 67% of first serves and won 81% of first serve points (30/37). He won 67% of second serve points (12/18) and saved one of two break points.

The World No. 52 compiled 43% of return points (30/69) and broke Walton’s serve three times. This was Giron’s seventh win from 10 matches this season.

His best results before this, include reaching two quarterfinals (Adelaide and Delray Beach). He has made one quarterfinal in Acapulco back in 2022.

 

Tommy Paul vs Marcos Giron Head-To-Head

• Paul and Giron have met three times on the ATP Tour.

• Paul leads his compatriot 2-1 in the head-to-head.

• Paul won their most recent match in the 2024 Delray final in three sets.

 

Tommy Paul vs Marcos Giron Prediction

As tempting as Giron is outright, I’m taking the games spread here. Paul produced a convincing performance in his first match that I feel he won’t drop his level here. But with that said, Giron will make it hard for him to fire winners at will. The veteran Giron is such a robust competitor with decent endurance. He’ll get at least 10 games here. 

Nur Said's Pick: Over 21.5 games in the match

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