Taylor Fritz vs Stan Wawrinka Australian Open Prediction 1/24/2026 Today’s Tennis Picks

Taylor Fritz will face 2014 champion Stan Wawrinka in the third round of the Australian Open on Saturday, January 24. Here’s our Taylor Fritz vs Stan Wawrinka prediction. This preview will also include a Taylor Fritz vs Stan Wawrinka pick.

Taylor Fritz vs Stan Wawrinka Preview

Taylor Fritz is coming off a straight sets win over World No. 101 Vit Kopriva in the last round. The match took 28 games to decide and lasted exactly two hours. Fritz took the first two sets without dropping his serve, but he was broken when he served for the match at 6-5 in the third. Kopriva forced a tiebreak, but Fritz clutched it out 7-4 to prevail in straight sets.

Fritz hit 37 winners and 29 unforced errors in the victory. He tallied 15 aces and 1 double fault. Fritz landed 77% of first serves in play and won 79% of first serve points (54/68). Fritz won 65% of second serve points (13/20) and saved two of three break points. Before this, Fritz needed four sets to beat Valentin Royer. Fritz is now 3-3 for the season. Last year, he fell in the third round stage of the Australian Open to a veteran. Could history repeat itself 12 months on?

Stan Wawrinka completed a rescue act to stay in the 2026 Australian Open. The Swiss trailed World No. 198 Arthur Gea two sets to one, but somehow prevailed in five sets after over four hours in front of an electric Show Court Arena. Wawrinka hit 63 winners and 69 unforced errors. That included 11 aces and 3 double faults. Wawrinka landed 62% of first serves in play and won 68% of first serve points (74/109). Wawrinka won 61% of second serve points (41/67) and saved 10 of 14 break points.

Wawrinka had beaten Laslo Djere in the opening round in four sets in over three hours. It means he has spent a whopping seven and a half hours at least in two matches. It marks the first time he has won two matches at the Australian Open since 2020, when he made the last eight.

Taylor Fritz vs Stan Wawrinka Head-To-Head

Wawrinka leads Fritz 2-1 in their head-to-head, although they haven’t played since 2023.

Taylor Fritz vs Stan Wawrinka Prediction

Fritz is heavily favored here. He is seeded and has powered through the first two rounds, serving big and looking sharp even after his recent knee troubles, which required him to spend most of his offseason rehabbing. Form and freshness favor Fritz, but this could potentially be Wawrinka’s last match at the Australian Open. I think Wawrinka will leave absolutely everything on the court and given the emotion of the moment, he might be safe lean to steal a set.

Nur Said's Pick: Over 3.5 sets in the match