Taylor Fritz vs Reilly Opelka Miami Prediction 3/22/2026 Today’s Tennis Picks

Taylor Fritz and Reilly Opelka face off in an all-American clash in the third round of the 2026 Miami Open on Sunday, March 22. Here’s our Taylor Fritz vs Reilly Opelka prediction. This preview will also include a Taylor Fritz vs Reilly Opelka pick
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Taylor Fritz vs Reilly Opelka Preview

Taylor Fritz returned to winning ways after a shock early exit in Indian Wells. The American started the Miami Open with a hard-fought three-set victory against Botic van de Zandschulp. The match took 31 games to decide. Fritz prevailed 6-3, 6-7, 6-3 in two hours and 4 minutes. Fritz tallied 33 winners and 24 unforced errors in the victory, including 18 aces and 2 double faults.

Fritz landed 64% of first serves in play and won 83% of first serve points (48/58). He won 59% of second serve points (19/32), and was not broken in the whole match, saving both break points he faced on his serve. The set he dropped was in a tiebreak. Fritz improves to 11-7 for the season. Last year, he reached the semifinals of the Miami Open.

Reilly Opelka recorded a massive win against former Indian Wells champion Jack Draper in the last round. The tall American won the match in two tiebreak sets in an hour and 35 minutes. Neither player dropped serve in the entire match, but it was Opelka’s clutch serving that proved pivotal in the tiebreaks, where he took full advantage of Draper’s slow starts in the breakers to win the match.

Overall, Opelka hit 47 winners and 29 unforced errors, including 25 aces and 2 double faults. He won 87% of first serve points (47/54) and saved one break point in the match. Opelka has now won back-to-back matches for the first time this season and has equaled his career-best result at the Miami Open.

Taylor Fritz vs Reilly Opelka Head-To-Head

Fritz and Opelka have met six times on the ATP Tour. Fritz holds a 5-1 lead over his compatriot in the series, but matches between them have always been tight, featuring close sets and tiebreaks.

Taylor Fritz vs Reilly Opelka Prediction

Do not be fooled by the lopsided head-to-head record. Fritz has a commanding lead, but on more than multiple occasions, he’s had to dig deep to beat Opelka, often relying on his serving prowess and a bit of luck to win some tiebreaks. I would expect at least a tiebreak or two in this one if Opelka’s destructive serve holds up. Draper hardly got a sniff in the last round and this might be a good time to face Fritz, whose off-color performances this swing should inspire Opelka to potentially record his second career win.

Nur Said's Pick: Reilly Opelka in three sets