Taylor Fritz vs Lorenzo Musetti Australian Open Prediction 1/26/2026 Today’s Tennis Picks

Taylor Fritz and Lorenzo Musetti face off for a spot in the 2026 Australian Open quarterfinals. The match is scheduled for Monday, January 26. Here’s our Taylor Fritz vs Lorenzo Musetti prediction. This preview will also include a Taylor Fritz vs Lorenzo Musetti pick.

Taylor Fritz vs Lorenzo Musetti Preview

Taylor Fritz is coming off a four-set win over former champion Stan Wawrinka. The match took 41 games to decide. Fritz prevailed 7-6, 2-6, 6-4, 6-4 in two hours and 45 minutes. That was Wawrinka’s final match at the Australian Open, having confirmed that 2026 will be his final season on tour. 

Fritz hit 59 winners and 42 unforced errors in an attacking display. He hammered 30 aces and only accumulated one double fault. Fritz landed 70% of first serves in play and won 85% of first serve points (71/84). Fritz won 50% of second serve points (18/36) and saved five of seven break points in the match. 

Before this, Fritz took Valentin Royer and Vit Kopriva. He returns to the round of 16 in Melbourne for the first time since 2024, when he made the quarterfinals and lost to Novak Djokovic. And it will be Djokovic that awaits there after the Serbian received a walkover in the fourth round. But will Fritz get the better of Lorenzo Musetti?

Lorenzo Musetti has put together his best run at the Australian Open this year by reaching the fourth round. Musetti outlasted an in-form Tomas Machac in the last round. Musetti led two sets to one, but needed to win in five after Machac broke his serve in the 12th game of the fourth set to level the match. Musetti had the energy to overpower the Czech and win the match 6-2 in the fifth set.

In the victory, Musetti hit 55 winners and 53 unforced errors. He fired 10 aces and accounted for 5 double faults. Musetti landed 56% of first serves in play and won 73% of first serve points (63/86). Musetti won 49% of second serve points (33/67) and saved 10 of 15 break points. Musetti had beaten Raphael Collignon (retirement) and countryman Lorenzo Sonego before this.

Taylor Fritz vs Lorenzo Musetti Head-To-Head

Fritz and Musetti have played six times before this. The head-to-head is tied at 3-all. Fritz won their only meeting of 2025 at the ATP Finals in straight sets.

Taylor Fritz vs Lorenzo Musetti Prediction

I’m leaning Musetti in this one. Fritz’s knee problems worry me and he has yet to take sufficient rest time to address the issue. He’s still able to play through the pain barrier, but at what cost and for how long? Rod Laver Arena plays much slower than the other main courts and that could actually benefit Musetti who loves just a bit more time on the ball to be dangerous.

Nur Said's Pick: Lorenzo Musetti in four sets