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Taylor Fritz vs Gael Monfils Prediction Australian Open Tennis Picks 1/18/25

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Australian Open Prediction: Taylor Fritz vs Gael Monfils

January 17, 2025 at 10:00 PM EST

The Line: Betting Odds: Taylor Fritz -769 / Gael Monfils +500

(Get latest betting odds)

Fourth seed Taylor Fritz faces Auckland champion Gael Monfils in the third round of the 2025 Australian Open on Saturday, January 18, 2025. Here’s our Taylor Fritz vs Gael Monfils prediction. This preview also includes a Taylor Fritz vs Gael Monfils pick.

 

Taylor Fritz Preview

 

Taylor Fritz produced another dominant performance to reach the third round of the 2025 Australian Open. Fritz outclassed Chilean qualifier Cristian Garin in three sets.

The match took 21 games to decide and lasted an hour and 24 minutes. Fritz won 6-2, 6-1, 6-0. He has not lost a set in two matches and has not dropped more than three games in a set.

In beating Garin, Fritz recorded 24 winners and 20 unforced errors. He hit eight aces and one double fault.

Fritz landed 67% of first serves and won 80% of first-serve points (32/40).

Fritz won 60% of second-serve points (12/20) and never faced a break point on serve. He held in 11 of his service games in the match and won 79 of 122 total points.

Fritz tallied 56% of return points and converted seven of nine break points.

Fritz improved to 6-1 for the season with her only defeat being to Auger-Aliassime in the United Cup.

 

Gael Monfils Preview

 

Gael Monfils reached the Australian Open third round for the first time since 2022. Monfils beat Germany’s Daniel Altmaier in straight sets to extend his undefeated run to seven matches (won the title in Auckland with five wins).

Monfils played clutch tennis in a 7-5, 6-3, 7-6 win over Altmaier in two hours and 20 minutes.

In the victory, Monfils recorded 37 winners and 26 unforced errors. He fired 12 winners and eight unforced errors.

Monfils landed 58% of first serves and won 82% of first-serve points (47/57). He won 50% of second-serve points (21/42) and saved two of five break points.

Monfils held in 14 of 17 service games in the match and won 109 of 198 total points. 

The Frenchman won 41% of return points (41/99) and converted five of 10 break points.

 

Taylor Fritz vs Gael Monfils Head-To-Head

 

• Fritz and Monfils have played once on the ATP Tour.

• Incidentally, their only meeting was also at the Australian Open, but that was six years ago. Fritz won in four sets.

 

Taylor Fritz vs Gael Monfils Prediction

 

Fritz is now one win away from making it to the second week in Melbourne for the third time in his career. He’s dropped a paltry eight games in two matches. With some of his rivals already dropping sets in the opening two rounds, the American has been near-perfect and I expect that to continue on Saturday.

At Monfils’ physical peak, maybe the Frenchman would have been worth a shout to win this match. Now at 38, he just doesn’t possess the stamina to go toe-to-toe with an in-form Fritz in a best-of-five format. Fritz must be considered one of the contenders to win the Australian Open. Monfils probably wins a set, but that’s as good as it will get for him in this match. That seven-match win streak will come to a halt here. 

Nur Said's Pick: Taylor Fritz in four sets

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