Mar 25, 2025; Miami, FL, USA; Lorenzo Musetti (ITA) hits a forehand against Novak Djokovic (SRB)(not pictured) on day eight of the Miami Open at Hard Rock Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Geoff Burke-Imagn Images
Geoff Burke-Imagn Images

Paris Prediction: Musetti vs Sonego 10/29/2025 Today’s Tennis Picks

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Paris Masters Prediction: Lorenzo Musetti vs Lorenzo Sonego

October 29, 2025 at 10:00 AM EDT

The Line: Betting Odds: Lorenzo Musetti -238 / Lorenzo Sonego +198

(Get latest betting odds)

Number 7 seed Lorenzo Musetti will face World No. 45 Lorenzo Sonego in the second round of the 2025 Paris Masters on Wednesday, October 29. Here’s our Lorenzo Musetti vs Lorenzo Sonego prediction. This preview will also include a Lorenzo Musetti vs Lorenzo Sonego pick.

Lorenzo Musetti vs Lorenzo Sonego Preview

Lorenzo Musetti is the seventh seed at the 2025 Paris Masters. He received a bye in the first round and will meet countryman Lorenzo Sonego to begin his tournament. Musetti is making his fifth main draw appearance at the Paris Masters. His best result was reaching the quarterfinals in 2022, where he lost to Novak Djokovic. Musetti lost in the opening round in each of the last two editions of this event, but he can ill afford an early exit this week as he is one of the contenders for ATP Finals qualification. He is currently in eighth spot and is chased by multiple players. So far, he has not locked his spot.

Musetti has compiled 41 wins and 18 losses and has reached two ATP finals. He lost to Carlos Alcaraz in Monte Carlo and suffered a heartbreak in Chengdu, where he had match points to win the title but could not convert and he fell to Alejandro Tabilo in an epic three-set match. Musetti arrives in Paris on the back of a semifinal run in Vienna, where he lost to Alexander Zverev in straight sets.

Lorenzo Sonego is unseeded and began his tournament at the Paris Masters with a big win over qualifier Sebastian Korda. Sonego was a +170 underdog and scored a shock straight-sets win against the big-hitting American. The match took 17 games to decide, lasting an hour and 29 minutes. Sonego won the first set 6-2, breaking Korda twice, and although he dropped his serve once in the second set, he powered past Korda by breaking his serve three times.

Sonego hit 3 aces and 2 double faults in the victory. He landed 58% of first serves in play and won 82% of first serve points (23/28). Sonego won 50% of second serve points (10/20) and saved three of four break points. This was the second time in his career that he registered a main draw win at the Paris Masters.
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Lorenzo Musetti vs Lorenzo Sonego Head-To-Head

Musetti and Sonego have met once on the ATP Tour. The World No. 8 beat his countryman at the 2024 Vienna Open in straight sets.

Lorenzo Musetti vs Lorenzo Sonego Prediction

With Sonego coming off a huge win over Sebastian Korda, he will be no pushover for Musetti. Musetti is fighting for a spot at the ATP Finals, which would be a great achievement to top off a career-best season if he can qualify, and he cannot afford to lose this early. I’m looking at three sets in this one. Sonego can serve effortlessly and win free points, which is what he needs on one of the slowest indoor hard courts and against one of the trickiest returners on tour.

Nur Said's Pick: Over 22.5 games in the match

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