Keys vs Mboko Adelaide Prediction 1/15/2026 Today’s Tennis Picks

Two top 20 players collide when second seed Madison Keys faces eighth seed Victoria Mboko in the quarterfinals of the WTA Adelaide International on Thursday, January 15. Here’s our Madison Keys vs Victoria Mboko prediction. This preview will also include a Madison Keys vs Victoria Mboko pick.

Madison Keys vs Victoria Mboko Preview

Madison Keys kept the defense of her Adelaide International title alive, opening the tournament with a 6-4, 6-1 win over Czech rising talent Tereza Valentova. Keys spent the best part of 49 minutes to win the first set, which featured a plethora of service breaks. But in the end, Keys regained her composure to see out the set.

The American was consistent in the second set, breaking Valentova twice to round off a straight-sets victory in an hour and 25 minutes. Keys hammered 3 aces and 9 double faults in the match. She landed 53% of first serves in play and won 68% of first serve points (27/40). Keys won 44% of second serve points (16/36) and saved five of seven break points.

Victoria Mboko has picked up two wins this week, opening her Adelaide account with a three-set win over Brazilian left-hander Beatriz Haddad Maia. In that match, Mboko rallied from a set down to defeat the World No. 59 5-7, 6-3, 6-2 in two hours and 11 minutes, recording 4 aces and winning 69% of first serve points (41/59).

In her second match, Mboko bested World No. 33 Anna Kalinskaya in another three-setter lasting two hours and 24 minutes. Mboko hit 4 aces and 5 double faults. She landed 69% of first serves in play and won 63% of first serve points (44/70). Mboko won the match in a third-set tiebreak after saving two match points.

Madison Keys vs Victoria Mboko Head-To-Head

Keys and Mboko have never met at any level.

Madison Keys vs Victoria Mboko Prediction

Keys is the bigger name with a bigger resume and weapons, but I fancy the rapidly improving Mboko to complete an upset. Mboko brings that fearless aggression that you need to redirect pace against someone like Keys, who can pummel the ball with precision. But the American hasn’t been as free-flowing both on serve and in forehand acceleration in the opening weeks, and Mboko might pounce.

Nur Said's Pick: Mboko in three sets