Jessica Pegula vs Moyuka Uchijima Prediction 4/27/25 Madrid Tennis Picks

Jessica Pegula and Moyuka Uchijima meet in the third round of the 2025 WTA Madrid Open on Sunday, April 27, 2025. Here’s our Jessica Pegula vs Moyuka Uchijima prediction. This preview will also include a Jessica Pegula vs Moyuka Uchijima pick.

Jessica Pegula Preview

Jessica Pegula defeated World No. 68 Eva Lys in straight sets to reach the third round at the Madrid Open. The match took 16 games to decide. Pegula won 6-2, 6-2 in an hour and 14 minutes. Despite calling for a physio midway through the match for what appeared to be a neck issue, Pegula romped to victory against the young German.

After the two players exchanged breaks in the first set, Pegula broke Lys twice in quick succession to wrap up the first set in 36 minutes. In the second set, Pegula dominated the return and broke Lys three times. She held to love in the eighth game to seal a routine win. Pegula improves to 27-7 for the season and is the WTA player with the most match wins in 2025. She is now 7-1 on cla,y having won the title at the WTA 500 event in Charleston.

Moyuka Uchijima Preview

Moyuka Uchijima won two matches to reach the third round of the Madrid Open for the first time. In her first match, she beat Robin Montgomery of the USA in three sets for her first win in the tournament. In the second round, Uchijima delivered a stunning upset, ousting former champion Ons Jabeur in three sets.

Uchijima lost the first set 4-6 to the Tunisian, and was a break down at the start of the second set. But she broke Jabeur twice to turn the match around and converted her fourth set point to level. In the third set, Uchijima secured the decisive break in the third game and completed the upset win. This was her sixth win in seven matches. Uchijima improves to 15-12 for the season.

Jessica Pegula vs Moyuka Uchijima Head-To-Head

Pegula and Uchijima have no previous history at this level.

Jessica Pegula vs Moyuka Uchijima Prediction

I’m not sure how troubling Pegula’s neck issue might be here, but she did see the physio in her match against Lys, although she showed little sign of pain. That’s an interesting development here, and there is a serious case to be made for the underdog in this match. Pegula is facing a dangerous floater in this draw in Uchijima, who has already beaten Ostapenko, Raducanu, and more recently, Jabeur. She’s also taken a set off Coco Gauff this season. Pegula tends to be vulnerable early doors, so Uchijima might rack up some valuable games on the board.