Jan 21, 2026; Melbourne, Victoria, Australia; Jasmine Paolini of Italy in action against Magdalena Frech of Poland in the second round of the womenís singles at the Australian Open at John Cain Arena in Melbourne Park. Mandatory Credit: Mike Frey-Imagn Images
Mike Frey-Imagn Images

Jasmine Paolini vs Iva Jovic Australian Open Prediction 1/23/2026 Today’s Tennis Picks

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Australian Open Prediction: Jasmine Paolini vs Iva Jovic

01:30 AM EST

The Line: Betting Odds: Jasmine Paolini -142 / Iva Jovic +110

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Number 7 seed Jasmine Paolini will face Number 29 seed Iva Jovic in the third round of the 2026 Australian Open. The match is scheduled for Friday, January 23. Here’s our Jasmine Paolini vs Iva Jovic prediction. This preview will also include a Jasmine Paolini vs Iva Jovic pick.

Jasmine Paolini vs Iva Jovic Preview

Jasmine Paolini made it a hat-trick of third-round appearances at the Australian Open following her straight-sets win over World No. 57 Magdalena Frech in the last round. The match took 17 games to decide and lasted under two hours. Despite the one-sided scoreline, the match featured long points with each set taking at least 50 minutes. Paolini needed five set points to take the first set 6-2. The Italian from an early break deficit to win the second set 6-3, breaking Frech three times. 

Paolini hit 20 winners and 28 unforced errors in the victory. She landed 61% of first serves in play and won 66% of first serve points (31/47). Paolini won 37% of second serve points (11/30) and saved 11 of 14 break points in the match. Before this, Paolini had beaten Aliaksandra Sasnovich 6-1, 6-2. She will seek a spot in the last 16, having made it to the second week in Melbourne only once in six previous main draws.

Iva Jovic is one of the most talented teenagers on tour. The 18-year-old is making her second appearance at the Australian Open. Last year, she was knocked out in the second round, but she has already eclipsed that achievement this year by winning two rounds.

Jovic beat compatriot Katie Volynets 6-2, 6-3 in her opener, hitting 24 winners and winning 75% of first serve points (18/24). In the second round, she outclassed World No. 121 Priscila Hon in front of her home crowd. Jovic registered an emphatic 6-1, 6-2 victory in an hour and 12 minutes. In the victory, Jovic hit 17 winners to just 10 unforced errors. She won 76% of first serve points (22/29) and saved eight of 12 break points.

Jasmine Paolini vs Iva Jovic Head-To-Head

Paolini and Jovic have played twice in the past year. Paolini won both meetings on hard courts at Indian Wells and the US Open.

Jasmine Paolini vs Iva Jovic Prediction

Jovic will be looking to avenge her last Grand Slam loss which was against Paolini at the 2025 US Open. The 18-year-old is one of the most taletned playrs of her gneration, but she is far from a finished article. Paolini’s experince and weight of shot are still levels above Jovic right now and I’m happy to back the Italian to emerge victorious in their third career meeting.

Nur Said's Pick: Jasmine Paolini in three sets

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