Jannik Sinner vs Carlos Alcaraz Prediction 9/7/2025 Today’s Tennis Picks

World No. 1 Jannik Sinner will face World No. 2 Carlos Alcaraz in the 2025 US Open men’s final on Sunday, September 7. Here’s our Jannik Sinner vs Carlos Alcaraz prediction. This preview will also include a Jannik Sinner vs Carlos Alcaraz pick.

Jannik Sinner vs Carlos Alcaraz Preview

Jannik Sinner defeated Felix Auger-Aliassime to reach his second final in a row at the US Open. Sinner, who won last year’s title in New York City, is coming off a four-set win over Canada’s Auger-Aliassime, which took 35 games to decide. The match lasted three hours and 19 minutes. Sinner hit 33 winners to 22 unforced errors in the victory. That included 11 aces and four double faults. Sinner landed 53% of first serves in play and won 76% of first serve points (44/58). Sinner won 67% of second serve points (34/51) and saved nine of 10 break points faced.

Sinner took an off-court medical timeout during the match for a stomach issue. He has since issued an update, stating that it’s not a big deal and that it was a slight twitch he experienced while serving, which immediately subsided after the treatment. Sinner will retain the world number one ranking if he wins the title on Sunday. He has not lost a hard court (completed) since last year’s Beijing final. His only defeat on the surface this season was via retirement in Cincinnati.

Carlos Alcaraz beat Novak Djokovic in the first semifinal to return to the US Open final for the first time since he won the tournament in 2022. Alcaraz knocked out 24-time Grand Slam champion Djokovic in straight sets. The match took 31 games to decide and lasted two hours and 26 minutes. Alcaraz hit 31 winners to 30 unforced errors in the match. He accounted for seven aces and two double faults. Alcaraz landed 56% of first serves in play and won 84% of first serve points (42/50). Alcaraz was only broken once in the match.

Alcaraz can return to the world number one ranking if he wins the title. He is the only player to defeat Jannik Sinner on a hard court in the last 12 months. Alcaraz is on a 12-match winning streak and can win his sixth Grand Slam.

Jannik Sinner vs Carlos Alcaraz Head-To-Head

Sinner and Alcaraz have met 14 times. Alcaraz leads the head-to-head 9-5. This will be their third Grand Slam meeting this season and they are tied at 1-1.

Jannik Sinner vs Carlos Alcaraz Prediction

Was there ever a doubt that these two players wouldn’t face off in the US Open final this weekend? It does appear to be a formality these days with the way Sinner and Alcaraz have decimated the rest of the field to lock horns in another final. It’s already a history-making rivalry. They are the first pair in the Open Era to contest three Grand Slam men’s finals in the same season, and it has never been tighter, with each match throwing up even more intrigue and interest.

I’m leaning towards Alcaraz here. Sinner has a phenomenal record on hard courts, but Alcaraz was the last man to stop him from winning. He’s the player I would trust to do something out of the ordinary, either in shotmaking or moments, and he can completely flip the script. Expect another classic with Alcaraz dethroning Sinner from the top spot.