Jannik Sinner vs Alex de Minaur Prediction 1/22/25 Australian Open Tennis Picks

Jannik Sinner and Alex de Minaur square off in the quarterfinal of the 2025 Australian Open on Wednesday, January 22, 2025. Here’s our Jannik Sinner vs Alex de Minaur prediction. This preview also includes a Jannik Sinner vs Alex de Minaur pick.

Jannik Sinner Preview

Jannik Sinner came through in four sets against Holger Rune to make the Australian Open quarterfinal.

In a match played in blistering conditions, Sinner survived a scare to beat Rune 6-3, 3-6, 6-3, 6-2 in three hours and five minutes.

In the victory, Sinner hit 35 winners and 35 unforced errors which included 14 aces and six double faults.

Sinner landed 56% of first serves and won 83% of first serve points (49/59). Sinner won 59% of second serve points (27/46) and saved four of five break points.

The World No. 1 won 40% of return points (44/110) and 67% of net points (10/15). He converted four of eight break points.

Alex de Minaur Preview

Alex de Minaur defeated American Alex Michelsen in straight sets to reach the quarterfinals at his home Grand Slam at long last. 

The match took 28 games to decide and lasted two hours and 10 minutes. In the victory, de Minaur recorded 28 winners and 25 unforced errors. That included five aces and one double fault.

De Minaur landed 42% of first serves but won 79% of first serve points (30/38). He won 63% of second serve points (33/52) and saved three of four break points. 

The Australian won 44% of return points (38/87) and 70% of net points (14/20). He converted five of 11 break points in the match.

Jannik Sinner vs Alex de Minaur Head-To-Head

• Sinner and de Minaur have met nine times on the ATP Tour.

• Sinner has won all nine meetings in what is one of the most one-sided matchups on tour right now.

• Sinner has lost just one set in those matches.

• They last met at the 2024 Davis Cup Finals, where Sinner won 6-3, 6-4.

Jannik Sinner vs Alex de Minaur Prediction

Sinner won his first Grand Slam at the Australian Open 12 months ago very convincingly, but did we just see him loosen his grip on the title in his fourth-round match? A 12-minute medical timeout is hardly a sign of his body cooperating especially in such harsh playing conditions. He admitted to feeling unwell and it’s not the first time Sinner has struggled mid-tournament.

For de Minaur, this must be the best news. Sinner is the Australian’s worst matchup on tour having lost nine times against him. Sinner’s recent medical episode could be the overriding factor between de Minaur losing or winning this match. If he struggles with his movement for a fair bit, then de Minaur is likely to win a set or two, and that is a realistic punt here.