Iga Swiatek vs Qinwen Zheng Prediction 3/13/25 Indian Wells Tennis Picks

Iga Swiatek and Qinwen Zheng clash in the quarterfinal of the 2025 BNP Paribas Open in Indian Wells on Thursday, March 13, 2025. Here’s our Iga Swiatek vs Qinwen Zheng prediction. This article will also include an Iga Swiatek vs Qinwen Zheng pick.

Iga Swiatek Preview

Another match, another straight sets demolition. Iga Swiatek spent less than an hour to defeat Karolina Muchova in the fourth round. The Pole lost just two games in another clean performance. In the victory, Swiatek hit 12 winners and four unforced errors. She landed 65% of first serves in play and won 88% of first serve points (21/24).

Swiatek won 54% of second serve points (7/13) and did not face a break point in the match. The second seed tallied 56% of return points (22/39) and broke Zheng five times.

Swiatek improves to 17-4 for the season. She also extends her undefeated streak in Indian Wells to nine matches. Swiatek has won eight of her last 10 matches on hard courts.

Qinwen Zheng Preview

Qinwen Zheng won a late-night fourth-round match against Marta Kostyuk to reach her first quarterfinal in Indian Wells. This is also Zheng’s first quarterfinal of the season after losing three of her four matches in 2025. The victory over the Ukrainian took 17 games to decide. Zheng spent only an hour and 22 minutes.

She fired 14 winners and 30 unforced errors. That included three aces and one double fault. Zheng landed 56% of first serves in play and won 68% of first serve points (21/31). The eighth seed won 54% of second serve points (13/24) and saved two of four break points.

Zheng tallied 54% of return points (30/56) and converted five of nine break points in the match.

Iga Swiatek vs Qinwen Zheng Head-To-Head

• Swiatek and Zheng have met seven times on Tour.

• Swiatek leads Zheng 6-1 in the head-to-head.

• Zheng stunned Swiatek with her only previous career win in the semifinals of the 2024 Paris Olympics.

• Before that, Swiatek on six in a row including four matches on hard courts.

Iga Swiatek vs Qinwen Zheng Prediction

Swiatek has a monstrous record in this tournament, and it is unfathomable that she will be losing this week. But that was said when she met Zheng at the Olympic Games on her beloved clay courts of Roland Garros and we know it didn’t go too well for the World No. 2. Zheng broke Polish hearts. So, writing off the Chinese here entirely might not be a good idea. Zheng has clearly been finding her feet in Indian Wells after a terrible start to the season. Maybe it could be related to the court conditions. Three successive wins have certainly got her season back on track and it is also the quality of tennis that she’s been playing that might give Swiatek some thinking to do. Still, the most she can do here is take a set (over 2.5 sets priced at +205).