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Emma Navarro vs Donna Vekic Prediction 4/26/25 Madrid Tennis Picks

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WTA Madrid Prediction: Emma Navarro vs Donna Vekic

April 26, 2025 at 04:00 PM EDT

The Line: Betting Odds: Emma Navarro -250 / Donna Vekic +185

(Get latest betting odds)

Emma Navarro and Donna Vekic meet in the third round of the 2025 WTA Madrid Open on Saturday, April 26, 2025. Here’s our Emma Navarro vs Donna Vekic prediction. This preview will also include an Emma Navarro vs Donna Vekic pick.

 

Emma Navarro Preview 

Emma Navarro, the 11th seed, bounced back from losing early in Stuttgart. She started her week at the Madrid Open with a hard-fought win over Australian teenager Maya Joint. Navarro recovered from an early break deficit to win the first set 7-5.  The two players exchanged quick breaks twice in the second set. But under the most intense pressure to stay in the match, Joint got broken in the 12th game to hand Navarro the win

In the victory, Navarro accounted for seven double faults and zero aces. The American landed 49% of first serves in play and won 66% of first serve points (23/35). Navarro won 43% of second serve points (16/37) and saved six of 10 breakpoints in the match. Navarro improves to 15-9 for the season and will be chasing a spot in the second week of the Madrid Open for the first time. Navarro has won four of her last six matches on clay courts.

 

Donna Vekic Preview

Donna Vekic is the 19th seed at the Madrid Open. She began her tournament with an impressive straight sets win over American Hailey Baptiste. The match took 19 games to decide and lasted 94 minutes. The first set stayed on serve until the 10th game when Vekic broke Baptiste’s serve to win it 6-4. Vekic saved all four break points in that set.

In the second set, Vekic did the same trick, fending off multiple breakpoints midway through the set and then breaking right at the very end. She required three match points to see the finish line. In the victory, Vekic hit one ace and accounted for seven double faults. She landed 46% of first serves in play and won 73% of first serve points (24/33). Vekic won 63% of second serve points (24/38) and saved all six breakpoints in the match. Vekic is now 6-10 for the season. The win ends a three-match losing streak.

 

Emma Navarro vs Donna Vekic Head-To-Head

Navarro and Vekic have met twice at the WTA level. The Croatian won both meetings on hard courts, with their most recent one at Indian Wells in early March.

 

Emma Navarro vs Donna Vekic Prediction

Vekic has beaten Navarro twice in the head-to-head, but Navarro starts as the favorite at -250 to win this match. I’d have to agree with the odds here. Clay acts as the biggest neutralizer to Vekic’s powerful game, even though Madrid is quite fast, unlike traditional clay venues in Europe. Still, I’m taking Navarro to win this one and exact revenge on that loss in Indian Wells, which was slightly damaging to her rankings climb.

 

Nur Said's Pick: Navarro to win in straight sets

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