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Elina Svitolina vs Danielle Collins Prediction 5/12/25 Rome Tennis Picks

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WTA Rome Prediction: Elina Svitolina vs Danielle Collins

May 12, 2025 at 10:00 AM EDT

The Line: Betting Odds: Elina Svitolina -169 / Danielle Collins +130

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Elina Svitolina and Danielle Collins meet in the round of 16 of the 2025 Italian Open Rome on Monday, May 12, 2025. Here’s our Elina Svitolina vs Danielle Collins prediction. This preview will also include an Elina Svitolina vs Danielle Collins pick.

 

Elina Svitolina Preview

Elina Svitolina is the 16th seed and overcame American Hailey Baptiste in three sets. It’s the second time in this year’s clay swing that Svitolina has lost a set. Svitolina needed almost an hour to bag the first set 6-4, managing to rally from 0-2 down.

In the second set, Baptiste kept her focus intact and broke the Ukrainian twice in succession to lead 5-0. Svitolina reduced the deficit, but Baptiste needed four bites of the cherry to level the match, winning the set 6-3. In a dramatic third set, Svitolina was the first to break to lead 5-3. She served for the match and squandered five match points and got broken back. But serving to stay in the tournament, Baptiste lost her serve again, handing Svitolina a hard-fought victory after two hours and 32 minutes.

 

Danielle Collins Preview

Danielle Collins earned her second career win over Iga Swiatek. She beat the vulnerable Pole 6-1, 7-5 in under two hours. Collins could not believe her luck after sailing to a 5-0 lead and serving for a rare bagel against the defending champion. But she spurned that chance as Swiatek got on the board in the sixth game. Collins was not to be denied a “breadstick” and broke Swiatek to love for the set.

In the second set, it looked like Swiatek would manufacture a comeback and break Collins in the opening game. But it was all Collins thereafter, who secured two breaks of the Swiatek serve to close out a straight-sets win. Before this, Collins beat Elena-Gabriela Ruse 6-3, 6-3. Collins has won four of her last five matches on clay. This is only her second tournament of the clay swing and first in Europe.

 

Elina Svitolina vs Danielle Collins Head-To-Head

Svitolina and Collins have met three times at the WTA level. Collins leads 2-1 but lost their last meeting at the 2025 Indian Wells in straight sets. This will be their first clash on clay.

 

Elina Svitolina vs Danielle Collins Prediction

Svitolina recently lost her long undefeated streak to Sabalenka in Madrid. Although Collins plays similarly to the Belarusian, she doesn’t quite possess the serve and groundstroke precision to match that of the World No. 1. Still, the American’s attacking skillset is among the best on tour when it’s firing on all cylinders. And this week, it is, will Collins completing the upset of the tournament in the last round, eliminating Swiatek with unexpected ease. I’m leaning toward Collins here after she overcame her early-season inconsistencies, and with Svitolina perhaps showing some vulnerability in her defensive game.

Nur Said's Pick: Danielle Collins in three sets

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