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Coco Gauff vs Belinda Bencic Prediction 3/12/25 Indian Wells Tennis Picks

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Indian Wells Prediction: Coco Gauff vs Belinda Bencic

March 12, 2025 at 03:00 PM EDT

The Line: Betting Odds: Coco Gauff -125 / Belinda Bencic +100

(Get latest betting odds)

Coco Gauff and Belinda Bencic meet in the fourth round of the 2025 BNP Paribas Open in Indian Wells on Wednesday, March 12, 2025. Here’s our Coco Gauff vs Belinda Bencic prediction. This article will also include a Coco Gauff vs Belinda Bencic pick.

 

Coco Gauff Preview

Coco Gauff recorded a straight sets win over last year’s finalist Maria Sakkari in the third round. The match took 21 games to decide. Gauff prevailed 7-6, 6-2 in an hour and 37 minutes. In the victory, Gauff hit 11 winners and 31 unforced errors. She fired two aces and nine double faults.

Gauff landed 64% of serves in play and won 77% of first serve points (36/47). The American won 33% of second serve points (9/27) and saved four of seven break points. Gauff won 53% of return points (32/60) and broke Sakkari’s serve five times in the match.

Gauff will look to reach her second WTA quarterfinal of the season and first since the Australian Open. Last year, she made it to the semifinals of Indian Wells.

 

Belinda Bencic Preview

Belinda Bencic earned an excellent win over 13th seed Diana Shnaider to reach the Indian Wells fourth round. The match took 20 games to decide. Bencic prevailed 6-4, 6-4 in an hour and 40 minutes. In the victory, Bencic tallied 20 winners and 16 unforced errors. That included one ace and three double faults.

The Swiss wild card landed 61% of first serves in play and won 71% of first serve points (27/38). Bencic won 33% of second serve points (8/24) and saved three of seven break points. Bencic compiled 56% of return points (35/62) and boke Shnaider six times in the match.

The win was Bencic’s 16th in 20 matches in 2025, placing her among the Tour leaders. She will bid to reach her first quarterfinal at Indian Wells since 2019 when she made the semis.

 

Coco Gauff vs Belinda Bencic Head-To-Head

• Gauff and Bencic have played three times at WTA level.

• Gauff leads Bencic 2-1 in their head-to-head.

• Gauff won their last meeting at the 2025 Australian Open in three sets.

 

Coco Gauff vs Belinda Bencic Prediction 

I’m taking a stab at Bencic at +100 ML. When she played Gauff at the Australian Open in January, she competed exceptionally for a set before wilting. She didn’t have a lot of mileage in her legs because of the long maternity break. With two months of the season gone, her endurance has only gotten better.

Secondly, Gauff’s second serve is a big weakness in her game right now and Bencic can easily exploit it. She hit 21 DFs in her opener, and although she cleaned it up in her second match against Sakkari, she still didn’t have the best numbers behind it. Bencic is one of the finest returners in the sport. She’s aggressive and plays with regulation, so she’ll frustrate Coco by taking the ball early and with assurance. And if it goes the distance, she’ll have the stamina to cross the finish line. Give me Bencic in three.

Nur Said's Pick: Belinda Bencic in three sets

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