Carlos Alcaraz vs Nuno Borges Prediction Australian Open Tennis Picks 1/17/25

Carlos Alcaraz and Nuno Borges meet in the third round of the 2025 Australian Open on Friday, January 17, 2025. Here’s our Carlos Alcaraz vs Nuno Borges prediction. This preview also includes a Carlos Alcaraz vs Nuno Borges pick.

Carlos Alcaraz Preview

Carlos Alcaraz defeated Yoshihito Nishioka in straight sets in his second-round match. The match took 23 games to decide and lasted an hour and 22 minutes.

It was one of the shortest matches at this year’s Australian Open in the men’s draw. In the victory, Alcaraz recorded 36 winners and 16 unforced errors. He hit 14 aces and three double faults.

Alcaraz landed 60% of first serves and won 89% of first-serve points (32/36). Alcaraz won 71% of second-serve points (17/24) and did not face a break point on his serve.

The third seed held in all 12 of his service games in the match. Alcaraz won 51% of return points (31/61) and 82% of net points (9/11). He converted six of 10 break points.

Nuno Borges Preview

Nuno Borges, for his part, defeated Australia’s Jordan Thompson in straight sets. The match was expected to be a close battle, but Borges completely silenced the Melbourne crowd en route to an hour and 48-minute victory.

The match took 27 games to decide. The Portuguese No. 1 prevailed 6-3, 6-2, 6-4. In the victory, Borges recorded 31 winners and 24 unforced errors. Borges hammered six aces and zero double faults.

He landed 77% of first serves and won 74% of first-serve points (46/62). Borges won an impressive 79% of second-serve points (15/19) and saved both break points on his serve.

Borges held in 14 of his service games in the match. He won 43% of return points (35/81) and 60% of net points (6/10). Borges converted four of nine break points.

Carlos Alcaraz vs Nuno Borges Head-To-Head

• Alcaraz and Borges have played once on the ATP Tour.

• The Spaniard won that match at the 2023 Barcelona Open in straight sets.

Carlos Alcaraz vs Nuno Borges Prediction

Alcaraz demolished Nishioka in the last round and that fear factor has returned. Nuno Borges overachieved when he made the round of 16 last year stunning Davidovich Fokina and Grigor Dimitrov before losing to Daniil Medvedev in four sets, but it would be a miracle if he replicated that result on Friday and advanced into the second week. Even if he loses, his ranking won’t take a major hit.