Carlos Alcaraz vs Andrey Rublev Doha Prediction 2/20/2026 Today’s Tennis Picks

World No. 1 Carlos Alcaraz will face defending champion Andrey Rublev in the semifinal of the 2026 Qatar Open in Doha. The match is scheduled for Friday, February 20. Here’s our Carlos Alcaraz vs Andrey Rublev prediction. This preview will also include a Carlos Alcaraz vs Andrey Rublev pick.

Carlos Alcaraz vs Andrey Rublev Preview

Carlos Alcaraz withstood a stern examination in the quarterfinal, where he rallied from a set down to beat World No. 17 Karen Khachanov. Khachanov saved a set point to hold for 5-all in the first set and prevailed in the tiebreak over the Australian Open champion. But Alcaraz leveled when he broke Khachanov for the first time in the fifth game of the second set. The Spaniard held to love when serving for the set at 5-4. In the decider, Alcaraz began dominating as Khachanov’s serve broke down twice. Alcaraz sealed victory 6-3 on his third match point.

The World No. 1 tallied 41 winners and 34 unforced errors in the match. He accounted for 8 aces and 2 double faults. Alcaraz landed 70% of first serves in play and won 77% of first serve points (49/64). He won 67% of second serve points (18/27) and saved all three break points he faced. Alcaraz improves on his record in Doha, where he had lost in the quarterfinals last season.

Andrey Rublev, meanwhile, beat Stefanos Tsitsipas to keep his title defense alive. Rublev edged the first set 6-3 in 43 minutes with two breaks of serve. Neither player broke serve in the second set, which was settled in a tiebreak. Rublev made a quick start to the breaker, securing two mini breaks to lead 4-1. And the defending champion prevailed 7-2 to confirm his progress into the semifinals.

Rublev fired 25 winners and accumulated 12 unforced errors in the match. He won 91% of net points (10/11) and hit 5 aces. Rublev landed 61% of first serves in play and won 79% of first serve points (34/43). Rublev 57% of second serve points (16/28) and saved all five break points he faced. Rublev has not dropped a set this week and has also recorded wins over De Jong and Fabian Marozsan.

Carlos Alcaraz vs Andrey Rublev Head-To-Head

Alcaraz and Rublev have played five times. The World No. 1 leads the series 4-1 and has won their last three matches. Alcaraz won in three sets in their last meeting at the 2025 Cincinnati Open.

Carlos Alcaraz vs Andrey Rublev Prediction

Just like Khachanov, Rublev is a player with enormous power off the ground, the kind of power you need to hit through a brick wall defense that Alcaraz possesses. The Spaniard’s defensive elasticity makes him difficult to break, and he rarely wilts when he’s playing this well. We are backing Alcaraz to secure another three-set win with potentially one 7-5 or 7-6 set.

Nur Said's Pick: Carlos Alcaraz in three sets