Aryna Sabalenka vs Polina Kudermetova Prediction 8/27/2025 Today’s Tennis Picks

Defending champion Aryna Sabalenka will face World No. 67 Polina Kudermetova in the second round of the 2025 US Open. The match is scheduled for Wednesday, August 27. Here’s our Aryna Sabalenka vs Polina Kudermetova prediction. This preview will also include an Aryna Sabalenka vs Polina Kudermetova pick.

Aryna Sabalenka vs Polina Kudermetova Preview

Aryna Sabalenka kicked off her title defense of the US Open with a polished, straight-sets win against Rebeka Masarova. The Swiss did well to stay on top of the World No.1 for only a few games before Sabalenka raised her level to run away with the match. The defending champion trailed 2-3 by a break, but recovered to level for 3-all, and the set stayed on serve until the 12th game when Sabalenka broke again to win the set 7-5.

Sabalenka was at her devastating best in the second set, in which she broke Masarova twice in succession to prevail 6-1. The match lasted for just 80 minutes. Sabalenka accounted for 20 winners and 16 unforced errors. That tally included two aces and two double faults. Sabalenka landed 53% of first serve points and won 77% of first serve points (23/30). She won 63% of second serve points (17/27) and saved five of six break points. This was her 52nd win of the season. She has reached at least the quarterfinals in each of her last nine tournaments.

Polina Kudermetova is ranked 67th in the WTA rankings and is competing in her second US Open. Last year, she lost in the first round of qualifying, but entered the main draw for the first time this week thanks to her Top 100 ranking. She achieved this with some strong results on hard courts in the first half of the season, reaching her maiden WTA final in Brisbane, qualifying for the Australian Open main draw, and making the third round of Indian Wells.

Kudermeotva only played for about 20 minutes before progressing to the second round of the 2025 US Open. The Russian benefited from a retirement win. Her opponent, Nuria Parrizas Diaz, rolled her ankle horribly after only four games and was unable to continue their match on Court 7. It’s the first time Kudermetova has gone beyond the first round of a Grand Slam tournament.

Aryna Sabalenka vs Polina Kudermetova Head-To-Head

Sabalenka and Kudermetova have met once on the WTA Tour. That match was their memorable Brisbane final in January, in which Sabalenka came from a set down to defeat the Russian.

Aryna Sabalenka vs Polina Kudermetova Prediction

There is sneaky value going with the overs here with the way Sabalenka can cheaply give away games early in the match. And that’s what makes Kudermetova dangerous because when she senses an opportunity, she can stay consistent and guard her serve. The 18-game range is probably on the lower end if this ends up being a competitive affair, and Kudermetova has proven her talent already in this matchup back in Brisbane.