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Aryna Sabalenka vs Mirra Andreeva Prediction Australian Open Tennis Picks 1/19/25

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Australian Open Prediction: Aryna Sabalenka vs Mirra Andreeva

January 18, 2025 at 09:00 PM EST

The Line: Betting Odds: Aryna Sabalenka -333 / Mirra Andreeva +260

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Aryna Sabalenka and Mirra Andreeva meet in the fourth round of the 2025 Australian Open on Sunday, January 19, 2025. Here’s our Aryna Sabalenka vs Mirra Andreeva prediction. This preview also includes an Aryna Sabalenka vs Mirra Andreeva pick.

 

Aryna Sabalenka Preview

 

Aryna Sabalenka notched her best win of this year’s Australian Open in the third round. She knocked out Auckland champion Clara Tauson in two tight sets. 

The match took 23 games to decide and lasted two hours and eight minutes. Sabalenka prevailed 7-6, 6-4.

Tauson served for the first set at 5-4 up, but Sabalenka ensured her streak of not losing a set since the 2023 final remained intact.

The Belarusian got the break she wanted and then went on to win the tie-break on her fifth set point. Sabalenka got a late break in the second set and served for the match in a gutsy 10th game.

Overall, she recorded 39 winners and 25 unforced errors. Sabalenka landed 72% of first serves and won 60% of first-serve points (31/52).

Sabalenka won 40% of second-serve points (8/20) and saved four of nine break points. She held in six of 11 service games in the match.

The top seed won 51% of return points (56/109) and 74% of net points (14/19), converting six of 17 break points.

 

Mirra Andreeva Preview

 

Mirra Andreeva is through to the last 16 of the Australian Open for the second year in a row. Andreeva defeated Poland’s Magdalena Frech in three sets.

The match took 23 games to decide and lasted an hour and 59 minutes. In the victory, Andreeva recorded 35 winners and 45 unforced errors. She hit four aces and three double faults.

Andreeva landed 63% of first serves and won 63% of first-serve points (30/48). Andreeva won 54% of second-serve points (15/28).

She held in eight of 12 service games in the match and saved six of 10 break points on her serve.

Andreeva won 47% of return points (37/78) and 57% of net points (8/14), converting five of nine break points.

 

Aryna Sabalenka vs Mirra Andreeva Head-To-Head

 

• Sabalenka and Andreeva have already met four times at the WTA level.

• Sabalenka leads Andreeva 3-1 in the h2h and won their only hard court meeting at the 2025 Brisbane International in straight sets.

• Andreeva beat Sabalenka in their previous Grand Slam match at the 2024 French Open.

 

Aryna Sabalenka vs Mirra Andreeva Prediction

 

Sabalenka overcame the sternest of examinations before the second week, beating an in-form Clara Tauson in straight sets. Sabalenka will need to perform at her absolute best level here, because she’s up against the tour’s best-performing teenager in the last 12 months in Andreeva.

So, any lapses or erratic side of Sabalenka that shows up will be punished. Andreeva’s court awareness and tactical acumen defy her young age and she plays with maturity. I’m still going Sabalenka as she has so much firepower to blow away the 17-year-old. But if plan A doesn’t work, then she might be in serious trouble.

Nur Said's Pick: Aryna Sabalenka in three sets

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