Aryna Sabalenka vs Jelena Ostapenko Prediction 4/21/25 Stuttgart Tennis Picks

Aryna Sabalenka and Jelena Ostapenko meet in the final of the 2025 WTA Porsche Tennis Grand Prix in Stuttgart, Germany, on Monday, April 21, 2025. Here’s our Aryna Sabalenka vs Jelena Ostapenko prediction. This preview will also include an Aryna Sabalenka vs Jelena Ostapenko pick.

Aryna Sabalenka Preview

Aryna Sabalenka reached her fourth career final in Stuttgart. To get there, Sabalenka, who is the top seed, received a bye in the first round and then a walkover in her second match. It meant, the earliest she struck a ball on a matchday was in the quarterfinals on Saturday against Elise Mertens. She defeated her former doubles partner 6-4, 6-1.

Sabalenka encountered some stiff resistance from Jasmine Paolini in the semifinal, but came through 7-5, 6-4 in the end. Sabalenka has lost in each of three previous finals she contested in Stuttgart – once to Ashleigh Barty and twice to Iga Swiatek. Now, she’ll face Swiatek’s conqueror for the title. Overall, Sabalenka has compiled a 25-4 record in 2025, winning two titles already (Brisbane and Miami) and losing her other two finals (Australian Open and Indian Wells).

Jelena Ostapenko Preview

Jelena Ostapenko reached her first career final in Stuttgart. After losing in the first round last season, Ostapenko was at her scintillating best this week, eliminating two seeds en route to the final. In the first round, she earned a retirement win over Dayana Yastremska. Ostapenko then knocked out seventh seed Emma Navarro 7-5, 3-6, 6-2 in the second round.

In the quarterfinal, Ostapenko faced two-time former champion Swiatek and defeated her for the sixth time in the series 6-3, 3-6, 6-2. The Latvian became the first player to beat Swiatek on three different surfaces. In the semifinal, Ostapenko beat Ekaterina Alexandrova 6-4, 6-4 to pick up her 11th win of the season. Ostapenko lost her only final of the year in Doha to Amanda Anisimova.

Aryna Sabalenka vs Jelena Ostapenko Head-To-Head

Sabalenka leads Ostapenko 3-0 in the head-to-head and won their only clay meeting at the 2024 Italian Open in straight sets. In three matches, Ostapenko has won one set against Sabalenka.

Aryna Sabalenka vs Jelena Ostapenko Prediction

A thrilling match is in prospect between the two hardest hitters on tour. While both players are notoriously known for employing an aggressive mindset in every shot, they do have some distinguishing features in their games. Sabalenka has worked hard to tone down the errors thanks to her refined power and better shot selection. She can incorporate topspin forehands and play occasional drop shots. In terms of raw speed and power, Sabalenka checks off the boxes on serve and forehand placement. That said, it would be foolish to write off Ostapenko because of her unpredictability. In fact, far from it. She is playing with a lot of baseline discipline self-assurance that we rarely see, and on her day, she can blow anyone off the court with her unerring power, and this might be the week she can finally solve the Sabalenka puzzle.